Merriman Market Analyst

Free Weekly Forecast

MMA FREE WEEKLY COLUMN FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING MARCH 25, 2024 ©

March 22, 2024

REVIEW The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped on Friday, but clinched its best week of the year after back-to-back record-setting sessions….One reason for the market optimism stems from this week’s Federal Reserve meeting. The central bank left rates unchanged, and commentary from Fed Chair Jerome Powell reinforced that cuts are...

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MMA FREE WEEKLY COLUMN FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING MARCH 18, 2024 ©

March 15, 2024

 REVIEW  “Quiet.” “Stealthy.” “Surprising.” Gold prices are hitting record highs, and Wall Street analysts say they have been caught off guard. The precious metal is traditionally seen as a haven in times of volatility and geopolitical risk. This time, its ascent is coinciding with investor optimism about the U.S. economy,...

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MMA FREE WEEKLY COLUMN FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING MARCH 11, 2024 ©

March 8, 2024

REVIEW  “‘ We’re waiting to become more confident that inflation is moving sustainably at 2%. When we do get that confidence, and we’re not far from it, it’ll be appropriate to begin to dial back the level of restriction,’ Powell said in response to a question about rates and inflation....

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MMA FREE WEEKLY COLUMN FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING MARCH 4, 2024 ©

March 1, 2024

REVIEW  The Nikkei stock index recorded last week its first new high in 34 years, a fitting tribute to Japan’s re-emergence as a genuinely exciting economy. It also comes amid mounting evidence that Japan has finally broken the hold of deflation. — Greg Ip, “Japan Is Back. Is Inflation the...

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MMA FREE WEEKLY COLUMN FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING FEBRUARY 26, 2024 ©

February 23, 2024

REVIEW  “A whole new industry is being formed, and that’s driving our growth,” he [Nvidia’s CEO Jensen Huang] said on the company’s earnings call. On Wednesday, Nvidia reported quarterly sales of $22.1 billion and forecasted another $24 billion for its current quarter, each more than triple what was posted a...

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MMA FREE WEEKLY COLUMN FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING FEBRUARY 19, 2024 ©

February 16, 2024

NOTE: There not a weekly column this week, as I prepare for the Sunday (February 18th) Forecast 2024 Webinar. The Webinar will be an update on financial markets and the status of the national and world economic outlook as given in the annual book, with more of a shorter-term analysis...

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MMA FREE WEEKLY COLUMN FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING FEBRUARY 12, 2024 ©

February 9, 2024

NOTE: There will be no weekly column next week, as I will be preparing for the Sunday (February 18) MMA Worldwide Webinar on Forecast 2024. It will be an update on financial markets and the status of the national and world economic outlook as given in the annual book, with...

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MMA FREE WEEKLY COLUMN FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING FEBRUARY 5, 2024 ©

February 2, 2024

REVIEW  Job growth posted a surprisingly strong increase in January, demonstrating again that the U.S. labor market is solid and poised to support broader economic growth. Nonfarm payrolls expanded by 353,000 for the month, much better than the Dow Jones estimate for 185,000. Wage growth also showed strength, as average...

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MMA FREE WEEKLY COLUMN FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING JANUARY 29, 2024 ©

January 26, 2024

REVIEW  The US economy continued its seemingly unstoppable ascent out of the pandemic recession and its inflationary aftermath, further burying wrong calls of recession by posting fourth-quarter growth numbers that crushed forecasts. The economy’s main growth engine—personal spending—rose at a 2.8% rate while business investment and housing also helped fuel...

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MMA FREE WEEKLY COLUMN FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING JANUARY 22, 2024 ©

January 19, 2024

REVIEW “Fortunately, the Congressional Budget Office provides a monthly budget update and recently reported: The federal budget deficit totaled $509 billion in the first quarter of fiscal year 2024, the Congressional Budget Office estimates. That amount is $87 billion more than the deficit recorded during the same period last fiscal...

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