MMA Weekly Column for 2018-10-15 ©

Posted by in Raymond Merriman's Weekly Preview on October 13, 2018 . .

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REVIEW AND PREVIEW

"I think the Fed is making a mistake. They are so tight. I think the Fed has gone crazy," the president said. Fears about rapidly rising rates helped cause the Dow Jones Industrial Average to drop more than 800 points Wednesday. "Actually, it's a correction that we've been waiting for for a long time, but I really disagree with what the Fed is doing," the President added. – Thomas Franck, “Trump Says the Federal Reserve has ‘Gone Crazy’ by Continuing to Raise Interest Rates,” www.cnbc.com, October 10,2018.

 

He blamed the Fed for causing a massive drop in stocks this week that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down more than 800 points on Wednesday alone. Stocks fell again Thursday. "It's a correction that I think is caused by the Fed and interest rates," Trump said from the Oval Office. Trump said he believes that the Fed's monetary policy "is far too stringent," adding that "they're making a mistake and it's not right." – Michael Sheetz, “Trump Says the Federal Reserve Caused the Stock Market Correction,” www.cnbc. Com October 11, 2018.

 

That is a lot of Saturn themes coming up, which means the Fed will be coming up for a lot of scrutiny. It will be forced to account for its actions of the past, for Saturn transits indicate a time when accountability is demanded. The Fed is likely to be criticized sharply, and if it cannot answer to the satisfaction of these inquisitions, it will likely pay a consequence. Its independence may be endangered, and its powers either diminished or stripped altogether. Raymond Merriman, the Forecast 2018 book, written in November 2017.

 

Pardon me for bringing this up, Mr. President, but… what about your ongoing campaign that is disrupting world trade with tariff threats? Equity markets don’t like that uncertainty, not to mention that these tariffs — if accelerated, as you often state will soon happen — are equivalent to a new tax on consumers that will wipe out gains from the recent tax reform act that was so boldly passed. What about the budget you recently signed that allows for another $1 trillion in deficit spending? We are back to the early years of the previous administration where our budget deficit is concerned, and the national debt is once again soaring. Do you think these factors might also have contributed to the severe stock market decline last week? Yes, the Tax Reform Act of December 2017, passed by the Republican-controlled Senate and House, which had fought for such a measure over the past decade, plus the de-regulation efforts on your own part, along with the national security measures initiated, have helped make “America Great (and safe) Again,” at least from an economic and military point of view. They have been the underlying forces that helped boost this stock market so famously since the election. And a major factor in that confidence, which has spurred the bull market in stocks and overall the USA economy, has been the steady hand of the Federal Reserve Board. Their gradual increase of rates (not so sudden and strong) has actually put additional monies back into the accounts of savers, which is also adding to the nation’s confidence about the future.

 

As pointed out in the Forecast 2018 Book, a greater danger may lie ahead in the independence of the Fed. And I suspect that too is causing concern with investors after last week’s statements.

 

Stock markets around the world sold off sharply much of last week, following all-time highs in several indices on October 3, exactly on our three-star geocosmic critical reversal date (CRD), that was anchored by Venus turning retrograde on October 5. As discussed in our prior two columns, Venus retrograde is one of the strongest geocosmic signatures that showed up in our research correlating important reversals in world stock indices. It was present March 6, 2009, when the worst bear market since the Great Depression ended, and the current bull market began. The fact that nearly all world stock indices reversed at the same time again shows the importance of geocosmic transits to one another as affecting the world collective and as a valuable market timing tool.  

 

Of equal importance is that while stock markets plunged last week, Gold soared to its highest level in over two months, breaking out of a triangle formation to the upside. as heliocentric Mercury ingressed into Sagittarius on October 10.

 

In retrospect, it was a very interesting week, and one that again pointed out the value of Financial Astrology as an important market timing tool.

 

SHORT-TERM GEOCOSMICS AND LONGER-TERM MUNDANE THOUGHTS

 

Last Thursday (October 4), while the Capitol was consumed with the Brett Kavanagh Supreme Court nomination debate, a few blocks away an event with at least as much long-term significance was unfolding to relatively little notice. Vice-President Mike Pence delivered a remarkable 40-minute broadside against China (which) may come to be seen as an inflection point in the complex trajectory of relations between Washington and Beijing. (Pence) accused China of abusing its economic power, stealing American technology, bullying the very American companies that have helped in its economic rise…. – Gerald F. Seib, “The Significance of Pence’s China Broadside,” Wall Street Journal, October 9, 2018.

 

I must be doing something right. In the last month, I have received several letters protesting that I have been too harsh on President Trump, more so than on any other president before. Ironically, I also received several letters claiming that I am too much of a supporter of the Trump presidency, far more than I have been of any other administrations in the past. I think this just points out the extreme sensitivity and serious political divide that currently exists in the U.S.A. For the record, I have been critical of every American president this century (and before), especially when they make decisions or commit acts that reflect the geocosmic transits of that week. I am always looking for present-day news stories that highlight the current themes indicated in the cosmos, for in the end, this is an educational column, demonstrating the correlation between cycles in human activity with cycles in the cosmos. Unfortunately, most of the themes reported in news headlines are not positive, feel-good, types of articles. I report on what people are witnessing via the current media news stories, especially pertaining to the fields of financial and political matters.

 

The past two weeks have been very interesting because Venus turned retrograde on October 5. As is usually the case, the stock markets made stunning reversals, and many made their all-time highs exactly on MMA’s geocosmic three-star CRD of October 3. The cause of that decline is a subject for debate, but most news stories focused on the Fed’s schedule of rate increases, which also fits the history of Venus retrograde, especially in Scorpio. That is, when Venus goes retrograde, central banks are often in the news, either due to policy changes, new announcements on their outlook, or — as was the case last week — of renewed criticism from the executive branch for their policies, in a covert manner designed to influence their future interest rate policy. That’s typical Venus retrograde, and central banks will be in the news for the next six weeks as Venus continues its backwards motion as seen from earth.

 

There is not much else happening in the cosmic headlines for the next two weeks, not until the full moon of October 23-24, when the Sun will also be in opposition to Uranus, just before Uranus retrogrades back into Aries.  Until them, it is all about Venus retrograde in Scorpio themes (interest rates, debt, taxes, tariffs). Even then, when the full Moon-Uranus conjunction occurs, it will still be about interest rates because Sun/Uranus aspects also have a strong correlation to all interest-rate related markets, like currencies and treasuries. It also pertains to technology stocks.

 

Bottom line: the lack of major geocosmic signatures for the next 2 weeks implies no major reversal of the trend that started on October 3. Of course, there have been a few exceptions to this normal rule in the past, but it still a rule that has served us very well over the years.

MMA Current Announcements

 

ANNOUNCEMENTS

 

NOTE 1: The monthly MMA and ICR Cycles Reports are both coming out this week!

 

THE MONTHLY MMA CYCLES REPORT contains our future outlook for U.S. stock indices (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, Treasuries, Euro Currency, Crude Oil and Soybeans, plus MMA’s original geocosmic critical reversal dates (CRDs) and Solar/Lunar reversal dates over the next several weeks for DJIA, Gold, and Silver. This May issue will also have an analysis of Live Cattle by Massimo Moras, MMTA graduate and analyst and an updated report on Cannabis stocks. This will be the last MMA Cycles Report issue that will offer Live Cattle and Cannabis analysis. They will, now switch to be regular features in the new ICR International Commodities Cycles Report, starting on July 2. That report will also include analysis on Corn, Wheat, Coffee, and Sugar markets as well as the XAU Gold and Silver Mining Index. The monthly MMA Japan Cycles report will also be released this week, covering the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen. If you are not a subscriber to the monthly MMA Cycles Reports and wish a copy of this month’s outlook for financial markets, consider taking out a subscription NOW. Please visit https://mmacycles.com > Services > Subscription Services for more information.

 

The Monthly MMTA International Cycles Report (ICR) will also be issued this week. This issue will include analysis on Coffee and Sugar, which will then be moved over to the new monthly ICR Commodities Report in the next issue. The monthly ICR report is probably the best kept secret for the timing and cyclical analysis of several international markets available today. It is an excellent report, written by several graduates and students of MMA’s classic market timing methodology, including Mark Shtayerman (San Diego), Izabella Suleymanova (San Diego), and Ulric Aspegren (Sweden). This issue of ICR contains an in-depth analysis of the XAU index (Gold and Silver Mining stocks), the U.S. Dollar (DXY), British Pound (GBP), Australian Dollar (AUD), the Australian stock index (ASX), the London FTSE stock index, the Russell 2000 U.S. stock index (RUT), Corn (C) and Wheat (W). And for now, it will also include Coffee and Sugar. Starting with the next issue, this will become the new ICR Financial Markets Report, less Corn, Wheat, and XAU, and will instead include the Chinese Shanghai Composite Stock Index and Hang Seng of Hong Kong Stock Index (see below). For more information, call us at 248-626-3034, or 1-800-662-3349. Or, please visit http:// mmacycles.com/ > Subscription Services.

 

NOTE 2: The New ICR Cycles’ Reports from MMA are Coming!!! Starting on July 2nd, we are going to expand our International Cycles Report (ICR) into two reports... ICR Financials and ICR Commodities. Each report will be covering 7 markets, and will cost, as follows (but there will be a special introductory offer – see below):

 

ICR Financials:

Cost: $325/ Year or $66/ 2 Months

Markets Covered: ASX (Australian Stock Index), RUT (Russell 2000), SSE (Chinese Shanghai Stock Composite), HSI (Hang Seng Index), AUD (Australian Dollar), DXY (US Dollar), and GBP (British Pound)

Release Date: Tuesday July 2, 2019

 

ICR Commodities:

Cost: $325/ Year or $66/ 2 Months

Markets Covered: LC (Live Cattle), MJ (Cannabis), XAU (Gold and Silver), KT (Coffee), KA (Sugar), C (Corn), and W (Wheat)

Release Date: Wednesday July 3, 2019

 

If you sign up for either ICR Report by June 30th, you will also receive – at no additional cost – the May issue of our current ICR Report, which contains our initial analysis of Coffee, Corn, Wheat, and Sugar. As a final BONUS, we will send you both the ICR Financials Report and the ICR Commodities Report in July so that you can see and experience both of our new reports. That’s TWO reports- at no additional cost- just for trying our new report. SAVE 20% NOW! If you wish to sign up for both the ICR Financials Report and ICR Commodities Report, we are offering a 20% off the yearly rate for both reports, valid until June 1. Instead of $650 for both reports, your cost will be $520- a savings of $130! Use code ICR at check out to receive the discount. For further information, visit https://mmacycles.com > Services > Subscription Services.

 

NOTE 3: MMA’S DAILY AND WEEKLY SUBSCRIPTION REPORTS ARE THE BEST WAY TO KEEP UP WITH RAPIDLY CHANGING MARKETS! If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you will be interested in MMA’s Weekly or Daily Market reports. The weekly reports give an in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro/Yen cash, Swiss Franc, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver, and Bitcoin. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as the Euro Currency, Japanese Yen, Bitcoin, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF’s). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders and shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the Daily report also includes the Weekly report. For further information, visit https://mmacycles.com > Services > Subscription Services.

 

For any questions, please contact us at customerservice@mmacycles.com or call (248) 626-3034, or (800) MMA-3349.

 

EVENTS

 

June 8-16, 2019: IT’S ON! June 8-16, 2019: “Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles,” with Raymond Merriman in Beijing, China. This special 2-weekend workshop will take place at the Beijing Broadcasting Tower Hotel, No.14 Jianguomenwai Da Jie, Chaoyang, 100022 Beijing, China. This will be two intensive weekend Market Trading workshops focusing on the identifying the primary cycle and its phases used in trading several financial markets, with the emphasis on the U.S. and Chinese Shanghai stock indices and Gold (other markets will be included as well). The course will then take participants through the steps of narrowing the time band down for trading cycle highs and lows by applying geocosmic and solar/lunar studies. Once in the time band for a reversal, students will then learn how to apply various chart patterns and technical studies to identify the setup for optimal risk/reward opportunities. The workshop will take place on the weekends of June 8-9 and June 15-16 in Beijing. During the week, participants will have the option of taking tours with other MMA students to exciting areas of China. The cost for this unique and valuable 2-weekend trading course is $4000 (discounts will be available to subscribers of MMA Reports). For further information, please contact MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com or call 1-248-626-3034 or 1-800-MMA-3349. Or, for a complete description of each course, go to:

 

https://mmacycles.com/index.php?route=blog/article&category_id=3&article_id=248 

 

https://mmacycles.com/index.php?route=product/product&path=64_72&product_id=184

 

https://mmacycles.com/index.php?route=product/product&path=64_72&product_id=286

 

 

Disclaimer and statement of purpose: The purpose of this column is not to forecast the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will often cite what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures may affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycles’ analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand the psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence potentially affect financial markets.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers of this column assume any responsibility whatsoever for anyone’s trading or investment decisions. Readers of this report should understand that commodity futures and options trading are considered high risk.