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REVIEW AND PREVIEW
Several factors have conspired to knock markets down this month — some earnings disappointment, fear of rising interest rates, a brewing conflict between Italy and the European Union over budget spending, criticism of oil power Saudi Arabia after the killing of a dissident journalist and finally, worries that world growth is losing steam.- Fred Imbert, “Dow Dives Nearly 300 Points, S&P Dips Into Correction Levels in Another Wild Day on Wall Street,” www.cnbc.com, October 26, 2018.
Bashing Jay Powell (Federal Reserve Board chair) makes it harder to keep interest rates low… No doubt the President is also deflecting blame from the White House for any economic slowdown, Mr. Trump needs a foil more than even most politicians… The bigger economic risk is slower growth abroad, which Mr. Trump should care about though he professes not to. Faster U.S. growth and rising interest rates are drawing capital from other markets. Mr. Trump’s tariffs are also hurting trade flows. Border taxes are never a free lunch. - “Trump Flunks Fed Politics,” Wall Journal Opinion page, October 25, 2018.
Global equity markets continued their plunge following our last three-star geocosmic Critical Reversal Date (CRD) of October 3, which involved the very important Venus retrograde of October 5. In fact, many stock indices made multi-month lows at the end of last week, on Friday, October 26, which is the exact midpoint of Venus retrograde (October 5-November 16). Our rule is that any market that did not make a major or primary cycle reversal near to the date of Venus turning retrograde, is very likely a candidate to do so within 2 trading days of their retrograde midpoint. That rule doesn’t apply to stock indices in this case, because they did reverse Venus turned retrograde. There is no compelling reason yet to think that they will end that decline and reverse up right now. However, there are some financial markets that do qualify for this rule, such as the Euro currency and U.S. Dollar. For those that don’t qualify (like stocks), there is still a possibility they could reverse, but the historical rate of frequency for such reversals is not as reliable as in the case of those markets that did not reverse at the time of the retrograde.
We saw Uranus in full action last week. On October 23, the Sun made an opposition to Uranus. The next day, the full Moon was conjunct Uranus. On Wednesday, October 31, Venus will be in opposition to Uranus. When multiple Uranus signatures are present nearby to one another, financial markets (like stocks) will often exhibit very sharp price swings, falling below well-defined support or rising above well-defined resistance during the 4-day period surrounding each. However, it is the midpoint of these two Uranus aspects which is especially prone to a potential reversal, +/- a couple of trading days. That midpoint is this Saturday, October 27.
In other markets, Gold continued to rally to its highest price now since our special reports of mid-August calling for a long-term cycle low. That low of 1167 on August 16 has not been violated, and on Friday, Gold climbed to 1248 intraday. The bigger story, however, was in the Euro currency, where the cash index fell to 1.1332 on Friday, October 26, in the double bottom range of its 1.1297 yearly low on August 15. What is most interesting is that Gold is making a multi-month high as the Euro is testing its yearly low and the Dollar is testing its yearly high. Gold is supposed to be depressed when the Dollar is rising, and not rise with it. But then again, this is Venus retrograde time, and Venus rules currencies and values, so the rules are upside down for now, and maybe into November 16 when Venus will turn direct —but then, Mercury will turn retrograde. We get no relief from all of these retrograde planets that have been operative since late June 2018. It’s been one retrograde planet after another, which makes you wonder what “true north” is any more. The problem for traders is that under so many retrogrades lasting so long, normally reliable technical studies become unreliable, and some traders (especially inexperienced traders) become discouraged. Experienced traders have seen this before, and they know that “this too shall pass.”
SHORT-TERM GEOCOSMICS AND LONGER-TERM MUNDANE THOUGHTS
US President Trump has suggested the Fed is the greatest threat to the US economy. An economist would suggest recessions arise from overheating (caused by deficit financed tax cuts, perhaps), or policy error (disrupting supply chains on which an economy depends, perhaps). Zero real rates with full employment are probably not a (restrictive) policy error. – Paul Donovan, “To redo, or redo,” www.ubs.com/pauldonovan, October 24, 2019.
(Mr. Trump) has had significant achievements — unemployment down, economy up, the courts, an imperfect tax bill that nonetheless got passed and was slightly better than what it replaced. No one seems to mention it, but America right now is enjoying prosperity and peace — or, if you prefer, growth and no new wars. It is a continuing amazement that with this, the president can’t get himself to 50% approval, or his party in a better position. – Peggy Noonan, “A Long Way From the Arsenal of Democracy,” Wall Street Journal, October 20-21, 2018.
On Sept 18, simultaneous with the nation’s daily dose of Ford versus Kavanaugh, Mr. Trump’s approval began to climb (from 40.6%). It now sits at a 44.1% average. It just hit 47% in the Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll.” – Daniel Henninger, “The October Surprise Arrives,” Wall Street Journal, October 25, 2018.
The greater question to traders and investors right now is whether a bear market has actually begun in U.S. and other nations’ stock indices. From the cosmic perspective, there is reason to think it has — and there is reason to think this is just a temporary pullback before another astounding rally to new all-time highs.
First, the bearish perspective. The all-time high on October 3 was just a few weeks after the fourth and final trine aspect between Saturn and Uranus that took place when this 45-year planetary cycle came within just 13’ of one degree of an exact trine in the last ten days of August. Historically, the U.S. stock market has always made a long-term cycle crest within 2 months of this aspect’s time band (in this case, it was in effect November 2016-August 2018). The last time this aspect unfolded coincided with the all-time high of January 1973, after which the Watergate fiasco began and stocks has their largest decline since the Great Depression into December 1974. The DJIA lost 46% of its value between the all-time high of January 1973 and that 36-year cycle bottom in December 1974. Supporting this idea that a new bear market has begun as of October 3 is the deteriorating technical damage that is now occurring. It acts like a bear market as daily and weekly support levels break down, and so do various longer-term chart formations. This is how bear markets behave when they are underway. One support after another breaks down, and all rallies are short-lived.
Yet, the cosmos also allows for a bullish outlook. On November 8, Jupiter will enter Sagittarius for the next 13 months, a historical placement that has a strong correlation of coinciding with a long-term cycle crest during that reign. Supporting this view is the election on November 6, 2018. Markets lately have made lows nearby to important national elections in the USA. Plus, any resolution of the trade dispute with China would likely result in a powerful rally, and Jupiter in Sagittarius is favorable for reaching a resolution involving world trade spats. Also supporting this possibility is that Venus retrograde will end on November 16 (and Mercury retrograde will begin). The market topped out when Venus turned retrograde. Any market that makes a primary or greater cycle crest when Venus or Mars turns retrograde is a strong candidate to make its low (counter-trend movement) when Venus turns direct. The next three weeks, therefore, are important from the cosmic perspective.
When Venus turns retrograde, people (investors) change their minds, and so do politicians and bankers, who just happen to be people too. When Venus turns direct, they change their minds, their stories and excuses, back to where they were before they changed them in the first place (think Saudi Arabia). It’s like, what goes around, comes around. Or, it’s like, what was good for you once before comes back again, and you like it again (think of a past lover). But then you realize why you let it go in the first place, so you let it go again.
By the way, is anyone watching Live Cattle prices, since Uranus ingressed into Taurus in mid-May? It is going to cost you to be a meat eater these next few years.
MMA Current Announcements
NOTE 1: MP4’s NOW AVAILABLE FROM MMA’S FORECAST 2019 WEBINAR. This was an exceptional 2-hour webinar, and the recording with slides came out very good. The event took place last Saturday, February 9, 2019 and addressed subjects from this year’s Forecast 2019 Book, with updates on financial markets since the book was written in November 2018. Outlooks for the U.S. stock market, Gold and Silver, crude oil currencies (including Bitcoin), Live Cattle, and Canopy, a Canadian cannabis stock offered on USA markets, were discussed. If you were unable to attend live, you can still receive the MP4 recording now! Cost is $45.00, and includes the slides of the presentation. You may register via our website at https://mmacycles.com > Products > Webinars. In fact, there is special in effect until this Monday where you can purchase the MP4 recording of the webinar, plus a 2-issue trial of the monthly MMA Cycles Report (which comes out this week), and includes the special Euro Currency report, for a total of $95.00
NOTE 2: THE MONTHLY MMA CYCLES REPORT will be issued this week (Monday night-Tuesday) to all subscribers of that report. This report contains our future outlook for U.S. stock indices (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, Treasuries, Euro Currency, Crude Oil and Soybeans, plus MMA’s original geocosmic critical reversal dates (CRDs) and Solar/Lunar reversal dates over the next several weeks for DJIA, Gold, and Silver. The monthly MMA Japan Cycles report will also out this week, covering the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen. If you are not a subscriber to the MMA Cycles Reports and wish a copy of this month’s outlook for financial markets, consider taking out a subscription NOW. If you take advantage of the special sale going on through Monday (see below), you will be sent last week’s Special Update Report on the Euro Currency’s long-term, intermediate-term, and primary cycles. For more information please visit http://mmacycles.com/ > Subscription Reports.
SPECIAL UPDATE REPORT ON THE EURO CURRENCY COMING OUT TUESDAY TO MMA CYCLES SUBSCRIBERS!! MMA Currency Analyst and MMTA (Merriman Market Timing Academy) graduate Ulric Aspegren has completed an intensive study on the long-term cycles of the Euro currency, via the MMA Market Timing methodology as taught in the MMTA program. In this report he has identified another long-term cycles’ breakdown that explains today’s current Euro Currency pattern, and what it projects for the future. Aspegren has been the ICR (International Cycles Report) analyst on the U.S. Dollar and British Pound since its inception five years ago. His work has been excellent, and he will now be covering the Euro currency analysis for the monthly MMA Cycles Report starting with the February 19 issue. If you are not a subscriber to the monthly MMA Cycles Report, and are interested in receiving this special Euro report that was issued last week on February 13, consider taking out a subscription, even a trial subscription. For more information, go to https://mmacycles.com > Services > Subscription Services > MMA Monthly Cycles Report.
NOTE 3: SPECIAL ONE-WEEK OFFER FROM MMA ENDS THIS MONDAY! You can purchase a two-issue trial subscription to the monthly MMA Cycles Report and get the Special Euro Currency Report by Ulric Aspegren issued last week, and an MP4 recording of last Saturday’s Forecast 2019 webinar with the power point slides, all for $95.00. This offer is good for one week, through February 18, President’s Day, which is also when the next MMA Cycles Report will be released. To take advantage of this special offer, go to https://mmacycles.com > Products > Webinars.
NOTE 4: MMA’S daily subscription reports are hot! If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you will be interested in MMA’s Weekly or Daily Market reports. The weekly reports give an in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro/Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver, and Crude Oil, and Bitcoin. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as the Euro Currency, Japanese Yen, Bitcoin, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF’s). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders and shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For further information, visit https://mmacycles.com > Services > Subscription Services.
For any questions, please contact us at firstname.lastname@example.org or call (248) 626-3034, or (800) MMA-3349.
March 9, 2019: 10:30 AM – 4 PM. Nova Southwestern University, 3301 College Ave, Carl DeSantis Bldg, Rm 1124 Knight Auditorium, Ft. Lauderdale, FL. This a 3-4 hour workshop on “Forecast 2019: An afternoon with Ray Merriman.” With Jupiter and Neptune in their ruling signs and square to one another, the principle of exaggeration in hopes and fears is present in all walks of life, including the economy, stock market and other financial markets, and politics. This combination only happens every 166-167 years, and this time is quite important because it is followed by the Capricorn Stellium in 2020. In this presentation, Ray will discuss the cosmic set up in 2019 and the "edge of the cliff" ahead in 2020, and what you can do to protect yourself and help others through what could be a turbulent period, but one with excellent investment possibilities as well. To sign up, contact 954-296-1211. $50.
April 26, 2019, 7 PM: “An overview of Financial Markets, the Economy and the Political Climate: Approaching the Edge of a Cosmic Cliff.” An evening with Ray Merriman. With Jupiter and Neptune in their ruling signs and square to one another, the principle of exaggeration in hopes and fears is present in all walks of life, including the economy, stock market and other financial markets, and politics. This combination only happens every 166-167 years, and this time is quite important because it is followed by the Capricorn Stellium in 2020. In this presentation, Ray will discuss the cosmic set up in 2019 and the "edge of the cliff" ahead in 2020, and what you can do to protect yourself and help others through what could be a turbulent period, but one with excellent investment possibilities as well. The location of this talk will be Room 9235 at the Naropa Nalanda Campus in Boulder, Colorado, 6287 Arapahoe Road, at the intersection of 63rd and Arapahoe. The cost is $45 if registered before April 1, and $55 afterwards. Sponsored by ROMA, the Rocky Mountain Astrological Association. For registration, contact Patti Simmers at 720-989-8822, or via email at email@example.com. Attendance will be limited to 80 persons. Sign up early.
June 8-16, 2019: “Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles,” Beijing, China. A two-weekend intensive Market Trading workshop/retreat with Raymond Merriman. This 32-hour intensive workshop will focus on the primary cycle and its phases – the half-primary, major, and trading cycles - and how to determine when they are due. Then, we will identify geocosmic signatures – Levels 1, 2, and 3 – as the basis for calculating CRDs (Critical Reversal Dates), to narrow the time band down for an important cycle reversal. A complete detailed schedule of events and topics will be available after Chinese New Year’s. Stay tuned for the update.
Disclaimer and statement of purpose: The purpose of this column is not to forecast the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will often cite what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures may affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycles’ analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand the psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence potentially affect financial markets.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers of this column assume any responsibility whatsoever for anyone’s trading or investment decisions. Readers of this report should understand that commodity futures and options trading are considered high risk.