MMA Weekly Column for 2018-11-05 ©

Posted by in Raymond Merriman's Weekly Preview on November 03, 2018 . .

 

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REVIEW AND PREVIEW

 

Job growth blew past expectations in October and year-over-year wage gains jumped past 3 percent for the first time since the Great Recession, the Labor Department reported Friday. Nonfarm payrolls powered up by 250,000 for the month, well ahead of estimates of 190,000. The unemployment rate stayed at 3.7 percent, the lowest since December 1969. – Jeff Cox, “Jobs Smash Estimates With Gain of 250,000, Wage Gains Pass 3% for First Time Since Recession,” https://www.cnbc.com, November 2, 2018.

 

"At this point, a couple more interest rate increases are necessary to stabilize growth at a sustainable pace and stabilize the labor market so it doesn't overheat," – Janet Yellen, October 30, 2018, “Yellen Says a Couple More Rate Increases Are Needed So Labor Market Doesn’t Overheat.” Fred Imbert, cnbc.com, October 30, 2018.

 

The combination of the overlap of the 4-day orb for a major reversal related to the Sun/Uranus opposition of October 23 and Venus/Uranus opposition of October 31, which was October 25-29, combined with the midpoint of Venus retrograde on October 26, was enough to sharply reverse world stock indices. A majority of the global equity markets completed multi-week (and even multi-month) declines right on Friday-Monday, October 26-29, and then exploded upwards all last week.  The Dow Jones Industrial Average, for example, bottomed at 24,122 on Friday, October 26, which was down 2829 points (-10.5%) from its all-time high of 26,951 on October 3, an MMA 3-star critical reversal date, and just two days before Venus turned retrograde on October 5. However, by Friday, November 2, just 4 trading days later, it had recovered 1456 of these lost points. The Japanese Nikkei had bottomed at 20,971 one week ago, on Friday, October 26. This represented a loss of 3476 points (-14.2%) from its 26-year high of 24,448, also recorded on October 3. But one week later, on November 2, it had reversed and rallied to 22,308, a gain of 1336 points. The pattern was similar in all other parts of world, from Australia, to China, England and South America: a major high nearby Venus turning retrograde October 5, followed by a multi-month low October 26-29 as Venus retrograde hit its midpoint nearby to the Sun/Venus opposition to Uranus, and a sharp rally into November 1-2.

 

Last week was notable for other markets too. Crude oil fell to $62.63/barrel on November 2, its lowest price in 6 months, another signal that its 3-year and 17-month cycles have topped out on October 3 as Venus turned retrograde. The top, by the way, was right into the price range calculated by MMA Crude Oil analyst Nitin Bhandari in the Forecast 2018 Book. Gold was exciting too, as it rallied to a high of 1246 on Friday October 26, its highest level since July 17. However, Gold then fell back to 1213.40 on October 31, right into our price target for traders to add onto long positions. The next day it was testing 1240 again, and continuing the upswing in accordance with the three special reports we wrote on Gold in August when it completed its 30.5-month cycle low at 1167. With Jupiter soon to enter Sagittarius, in square aspect to Neptune in Pisces for much of 2019, the cosmic picture is strongly suggesting that prices are rising, and inflation pressures are growing, despite what some officials are claiming. Has anyone tried to book an air flight from the USA to Europe next summer? Or hotels? You won’t believe the hike from this year. It is certainly not indicative of inflation being well under control.

 

SHORT-TERM GEOCOSMICS AND LONGER-TERM MUNDANE THOUGHTS

 

Political consultants tell clients they have to go negative, and hastily so, because such ads work. But that is an untested proposition. In every contested race, both sides are running nasty attack ads. So, someone running nasty attack ads is going to win. No candidate tries a different tack. The truth is that political consultants like to make those nasty attack ads. That’s the way they get their jollies. – Robert Robb, “Candidates Shouldn’t Fall Back on Negativity,” Arizona Republic, November 2, 2018.

 

“As a former CEO, I can say from experience that if the leader doesn’t set the tone, no one else will. All the ink about how both sides are to blame (for America’s explosive politics) is true, but irrelevant without leadership from the top.” – Steven Brown, retired CEO of John Hancock Financial Services, Wall Street Journal, November 2, 2018.

 

This week will be interesting from the geocosmic perspective, but not because the signatures in effect necessarily correlate with major reversals in financial markets. It is important because two outer planets — Uranus and Jupiter — change signs this week. That is rare, especially when you consider that the Moon’s Nodes will also change signs this week.

 

First, Uranus will retrograde back into Aries from Taurus on Election Day, November 6. Uranus first entered Taurus on the new Moon in Taurus on May 15. Now this week, it will leave Taurus temporarily within one day of the Scorpio new Moon. Then, on the Pisces new Moon of March 6, 2019, it will re-enter Taurus for the next 6 years. While in Taurus for the past 6 months, the world has been relatively peaceful, or at least militarily less hostile and threatening than it was during Uranus-in-Aries the previous seven years. The “war” rhetoric and threats with Uranus in Taurus have been of the trade wars’ variety, which fits with Taurus, a money sign. We will be watching to see if the trade war dispute between the USA and China come to an end between now and March, and if in their place renewed military threats arise, perhaps involving North Korea and/or other nations.

 

Second, Jupiter will begin its 13-month trek through Sagittarius on Thursday, November 8.  This too offers an optimistic outlook for resolving trade disputes, for both Jupiter and its ruling sign of Sagittarius suggest an increase in world trade. Historically, as stated in last week’s column, this also “…has a strong correlation of coinciding with a long-term cycle crest (in stocks). Supporting this view is the election on November 6, 2018. Markets lately have made lows nearby to important national elections in the USA.” The fact that two outer planets are changing signs indicates that there will be probably be a new energy in Congress and the USA government as a result of this week’s mid-term election. Several incumbents in both parties will likely be departing, and many new voices will be elected to serve.

 

This, of course, will affect USA President Donald Trump. When he was starting his first year in office, Saturn was conjunct his Moon and in opposition to his Sun. Typical of Saturn in opposition to the Sun, he accomplished many things, but typical of Saturn on the Moon, he was unpopular. Now, in 2019 Jupiter replaces Saturn, Jupiter will soon conjunct his Moon, in opposition to his natal Sun. The opposite of what was the case in 2016-17 is likely to be experienced following this mid-term election for Mr. Trump. That is, he is likely to see his popularity increase in the first half of 2019, but the quantity (and quality) of his major accomplishments may decrease markedly.

 

There is yet another ingress of importance occurring next week. The 18.6-year orbit of the Moon’s North Node will leave the amusing and confident sign of Leo and enter the patriotic and family-oriented sign of Cancer for the next 19 months, starting on November 6, the same day Uranus retrogrades back into Aries. This shift also has historical economic correlations. According to Louise McWhirter’s research, published in McWhirter’s Theory of Stock Market Forecasting (American Federation of Astrologers, 1938, Tempe, AZ), the economy and stock market often top out when the Moon’s North Node is in Leo. My own research shows that this is generally true, but a range extending from mid-Leo to mid-Taurus usually contains the top. But most of the gains in the economy and stock market are over by the time the North Node leaves Leo. It doesn’t bottom until the Node gets to Aquarius-Scorpio. although most of the decline is completed by the time it is in Aquarius or Capricorn. This theory is covered more fully in the forthcoming Forecast for 2019 Book, due for release on December 15.

 

Thus, the cosmic picture for this week reveals a lot of collective, attitudinal, and sentiment changes commencing. It suggests a shift of sector attraction for investors too. However, as far as reversals of trends for traders in financial markets, those are more pronounced the following two weeks, as both Venus and Mercury will change directions on November 16. Venus will end its six-week retrograde cycle and Mercury will begin its three-week retrograde motion on that day. We get no relief before December 6 from all the retrogrades (Mercury, Venus, and Mars) that have been active since June. It’s like starting, stopping, re-calculating, and adjusting over and over again, trying to get it right, trying to sustain some momentum, whether personally or in terms of markets. It may be fine for aggressive, short-term traders, but a little frustrating for more position-oriented traders and investors. Still, MMA’s geocosmic critical reversal dates have been impressive, including the last three-star critical reversal date of October 3, which just happened to be the exact day of the all-time high in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The three-star critical reversal date before that in late August coincided with the all-time high of the NASDAQ before its plunge. Geocosmic signatures, as reliable market timing reversal points, continue to prove their value.

 

By the way, Live Cattle prices keep right on soaring, ever since Uranus ingressed into Taurus in mid-May 2018. It will be interesting to see what they do when Uranus retrogrades back into Aries this week for the next 5 months. The symbol of Taurus is the bull, which is part of the Live Cattle family.

MMA Current Announcements

ANNOUNCEMENTS

NOTE 1: The monthly MMA Cycles report was issued last week, which included a Special Silver Report If you are a subscriber to this report and did not receive it, let us know at once. Also, a complimentary copy was sent to everyone who pre-ordered Forecast 2019. If you wish a copy of this Special Update on Silver, consider a trial subscription to the MMA Cycles Report, or ordering the Forecast 2019 Book while supplies last. Order must be placed by January 15 to receive this Special Silver Report. For further information, go to our website at https://mmacycles.com, or call us at 248-626-3034 or 800-MMA-3349, or email us at customerservice@mmacycles.com and get your copy of the Special Silver Report.

 

NOTE 2: February 9, 2019: MMA’S FORECAST 2019 LIVE WEBINAR, will take place on Saturday, February 9, 2019 at 11:00 AM (MST). This is 1:00 PM EST, 6:00 PM GMT. In the comfort of your own home or office, you can tune into Raymond Merriman’s annual worldwide webinar on Forecast 2019. This broadcast will address subjects from this year’s Forecast 2019 Book, with updates on financial markets since the book was written in November 2018. Outlooks for the U.S. stock market, Gold and Silver, crude oil, and currencies will be discussed. Cost is $45.00, and includes the slides of the presentation, plus a downloadable MP4 recording of the event. To reserve your spot in this live webinar broadcast, contact us directly at 1-248-626-3034, 800-MMA-3349, or email us at customerservice@mmacycles.com. You may register via our website at https://mmacycles.com > Products > Webinars. If unable to attend live, you can still sign up, as everyone will recieve the MP4 recording, following the live event.

 

NOTE 3: The monthly MMTA International Cycles Report (ICR) will be issued this week. This report is probably the best kept secret for the timing and cyclical analysis of several international markets available today. It is an excellent report, written by several graduates and students of MMA’s classic market timing methodology, including Mark Shtayerman (San Diego), Izabella Suleymanova (San Diego), Ulric Aspegren (Sweden), and Gianni Di Poce (USA). Each issue of ICR contains an in-depth analysis of the XAU index (Gold and Silver Mining stocks), the U.S. Dollar (DXY), British Pound (GBP), Australian Dollar (AUD), the Australian stock index (ASX), the London FTSE stock index, the Russell 2000 U.S. stock index (RUT), Corn (C) and Wheat (W). For more information, call us at 248-626-3034, or 1-800-662-3349. Or, please visit http:// mmacycles.com/ > Subscription Services.

 

NOTE 4: The Forecast 2019 Book is done and delivery has begun to all those who pre-ordered prior to December 7. The orders received after December 7 will be mailed out in late December. Please note: we have only ordered 20% additional copies. When those remaining 20% are sold out (10% have been ordered so far), they are gone. There will be no second printing. At that point, the only way to read Forecast 2019 will be through the eBook, which is available now to delivery to your inbox! ORDER NOW, if you have not done so already, and make sure you receive your copy of Forecast 2019 before they sell out. For more information on this annual best seller, go to https://mmacycles.com > Products> Forecast 2019. You may also email MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-248-626-3034, 1-800-662-3349.

 

MMA's annual Forecast Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is unique and one of the most affordable and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include: T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2019. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2019 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2019. This book has an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://mmacycles.com > Products> Forecast 2019.

 

This year’s printed version of Forecast 2019 will also available in four other languages, as follows:

 

Dutch: at www.markettiming.nl

German: at http://www.mma-europe.ch/

Japanese: at http://merriman.jp

Chinese: www.nodoor.com/

 

“2019 will be the 11th consecutive year I've ordered Ray's annual Forecast book.  I read it immediately upon arrival as well as consult the book several times throughout the year.  I consider it to be the most important planning tool for my personal trading/investing, not only for the coming year, but looking several years ahead as well.  For anyone serious about accurate market timing, Ray's Forecast book is a must read.” - Shane R., Alpine, UT (USA), Individual trader/investor - business owner, 20 years trading stocks & futures.

 

Thanks to MMA, I have closed 36 trades this year with a win rate of 86% (the remaining 14% were due errors on my part, as I have been actively trading less than a year). Ray’s predictive ability is remarkable. No one predicts more accurately. I highly recommend his daily newsletter which covers many markets. It appears expensive, but it’s a serious money-maker. My advice: get it now. Robert W, San Antonio, Texas, trades index funds, gold, silver, select stocks, less than a year. 

 

EVENTS

 

January 11-12, 2019: “Trends for 2019,” sponsored by Astrodata, Zurich, Switzerland. Friday night lecture: “Jupiter in Sagittarius, Neptune in Pisces: Is It a Bubble or a Crash?” For much of 2019, Jupiter will be in its ruling sign of Sagittarius, and Neptune will be in its ruling sign of Pisces. Each, by itself, would normally be positive from the economies and stock markets of the world. But in 2019, these two planets will be in a challenging square aspect to one another. What does this mean for the world economy in 2019?

 

Saturday workshop, Jan 12, in Zurich: “Forecasts for Financial Markets in 2019.” Based on the Forecast 2019 Book, Ray will present his outlook for the world geopolitical and financial landscape in 2019. He will discuss various cycles – both rhythmic and geocosmic – to support his outlook. In this workshop, he will also share his forecast for several financial markets, including Gold, the USA and German/Swiss stock markets, crude oil, and the Euro/U.S. Dollar. If you are an investor or trader, or just interested in the correlation between cycles in human activity and the cosmos, this is a workshop you will not want to miss!

 

January 19, 2019, Amsterdam, Netherlands, “Forecasts 2019 and Beyond: The Reversal of the Current Economic Cycle,” sponsored by Schogt Market Timing. This conference will take place at the Hotel Breukelen outside of Amsterdam, and feature Karen Hammaker-Zondag, Irma Schogt, and Raymond Merriman. For more information, please visit www.markettiming.nl or take the direct link https://goo.gl/VPxGSe for conference details.

 

February 9, 2019: MMA’S FORECAST 2019 LIVE WEBINAR, will take place on Saturday, February 9, 2019, 11:00 AM (MST). This is 1:00 PM EST, 6:00 PM GMT. In the comfort of your own home or office, you can tune into Raymond Merriman’s annual worldwide webinar on “Forecast 2019.” This broadcast will address subjects from this year’s Forecast 2019 Book, with updates on financial markets since the book was written in November 2018. Outlooks for the U.S. stock market, Gold and Silver, crude oil, and currencies will be discussed. Cost is $45.00, and includes the slides of the presentation, plus a downloadable MP4 recording of the event. To reserve your spot in this live webinar broadcast, contact us directly at 1-248-626-3034, 800-MMA-3349, or email us at customerservice@mmacycles.com. You may register via our website at https://mmacycles.com > Products > Webinars. If unable to attend live, you can still sign up, as everyone who orders the Webinar will recieve the MP4 recording, following the live event.

 

March 9, 2019: 10:30 AM – 4 PM. Nova Southwestern University, 3301 College Ave, Carl DeSantis Bldg, Ft. Lauderdale, FL. This a 3-4 hour workshop on “Forecast 2019,” by Raymond Merriman. Contact 954-296-1211. $50.

 

April 26, 2019: Boulder, Colorado. “Forecasts for Financial Markets and USA Economy and Political Situation.” Details and contact information to be announced shortly, sponsored by ROMA.

 

 

June 8-16, 2019: “Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles,” Beijing, China. A two-weekend intensive Market Trading workshop/retreat with Raymond Merriman. This 32-hour intensive workshop will focus on the primary cycle and its phases – the half-primary, major, and trading cycles - and how to determine when they are due. Then, we will identify geocosmic signatures – Levels 1, 2, and 3 – as the basis for calculating CRDs (Critical Reversal Dates), to narrow the time band down for an important cycle reversal. Within that time, we will identify and discuss specific technical and charting tools that will further enhance the timing of a major market reversal, and the price target range to look for. In this analysis, we will also explore the use of 60- 30-, and 5-minutes charts for even more accurate entry and exit points. With these tools, we will then construct a daily and/or weekly trading plan, as used in MMA Daily and Weekly Reports, using current market situations. Examples of several markets – including the USA and China stock markets, Gold, and crude oil will be used to illustrate these market timing techniques, with forecasts for the future. The workshop will take place on the weekends of June 8-9 and June 15-16 in Beijing. During the week, participants will have the option of taking tours with other MMA students to exciting areas of China. The cost for this unique and valuable trading retreat is $4000 (discounts will be available to subscribers of MMA Reports). For further information, please contact MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com or call 1-248-626-3034 or 1-800-MMA-3349.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose: The purpose of this column is not to forecast the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will often cite what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures may affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycles’ analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand the psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence potentially affect financial markets.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers of this column assume any responsibility whatsoever for anyone’s trading or investment decisions. Readers of this report should understand that commodity futures and options trading are considered high risk.