MMA Weekly Column for 2018-11-12 ©

Posted by in Raymond Merriman's Weekly Preview on November 10, 2018 . .

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NOTE: It will be a short column this week, and the next two weeks, due to the approaching deadline to finish the Forecast 2019 Book.

 

REVIEW AND PREVIEW

 

The Hulbert Financial Digest found that since 1900, the two quarters before the midterms only gained 1.4%.  But the six months following the election, the markets grew at an annualized rate of 21.8%... If the Republicans keep control of the House and Senate plus the Presidency, historic returns are 9.8%.  But if the Democrats get the House and the Republicans keep the Senate, a divided congress only returns 0.2%. – Nicholas Bertell, “What Midterms Mean to the Market,” https:/www.times-standard.com, October 14, 2018. We got the latter last week.

 

U.S. crude prices fell Friday for a 10th consecutive session, sinking deeper into bear market territory and wiping out the benchmark's gains for the year. The 10-day decline is the longest losing streak for U.S. crude since mid-1984, according to Refinitiv data. – Tom DiChristopher, “Crude Oil Posts Longest Losing Streak in Over 34 Years, Falling For 10th Day,” https://wwww.cnbc.com, November 9, 2018.

 

Due to the retrograde motion of Venus, the month of November is bookended with Venus and Uranus in opposition, first on October 30 and then again on November 30. Although this month has just begun, financial markets are behaving very erratically, typical of a strong Uranus presence. Of course, it might just be due to the fact that Venus is about to change direction on November 16, too, or that Uranus, Jupiter, and the Moon’s Nodes also changed signs last week, November 6-8, right during the U.S.A. mid-term elections. It is very rare to see three celestial cycles, each with an orbit of 12 years or greater around the Sun, changing signs within two days of one another.

 

Stock markets around the world continued their sharp advance into Thursday of last week, November 8, following their primary cycle lows October 26-29, which coincided with the midpoint of Venus retrograde. Equity indices started pulling back Thursday and by Friday, several had declined rather hard. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, for instance, closed down over 200 points on Friday, after being up 545 points on Wednesday, November 7, the day after the election. The NASDAQ took an even greater hit, percentage-wise. What changed?

 

The mid-term election results appeared to be a welcomed surprise to investors, who perhaps wanted to see a split Congress. But two days later, maybe they didn’t. The same fears of a slowing global economy were present on Wednesday, just as they were on Friday. But then again, two outer planets and the 18.6-year Moon’s Node cycle had all changed signs between Tuesday and Thursday, November 6 and 8. When planets change signs, people change their sentiments. When planets change direction, make retrograde and direct stations, people change their sentiments too. We are going to get another taste of that this Friday, November 16, when Venus ends its six-week retrograde motion, and Mercury begins its three-week retrograde motion.

 

We also saw an example of “changing sentiments” at the Executive branch in the USA government, where the day after the election, President Trump forced Attorney General Jeff Sessions to resign. This is probably just the first of several resignations or forced exits that will take place in the next year. Saturn and Pluto in Capricorn will form a 150° quincunx to President Trump’s natal Sun. A quincunx is an aspect of adjustments. At first, one is usually not happy with the way things are going and feels a need to make a change – any kind of change is better than no change. But initially, the idea of a change creates some stress. Eventually, once the change is made and one adjusts to the new conditions or circumstances, it often works out better than it was before the change. Still, the necessity for change can be unnerving as it happens.

 

I think it was also interesting last week that President Trump actually voiced his regrets for his harsh tone during his first two years in office. In an interview with the Sinclair Broadcast Group on Monday, November 5, he stated “I would love to have a much softer tone. I would love to get along.” This is interesting from a geocosmic perspective, because he is about to enter a 4-year period where transiting Neptune will make a T-square to his natal Sun/Uranus, which is in opposition to his natal Moon (he was born under a lunar eclipse). Transiting Neptune indicates the urge for peace and the need to avoid stress as much as possible. To not create a gentler, less stressful, atmosphere can have negative health (physical or mental) consequences, which are described in this year’s Forecast 2019 Book, to be released next month. There can be many benefits if he is able to actually have a much softer tone and be able to get along. At the same time, there are many more problems that are likely to be experienced if he doesn’t, or if he is not able to reduce stress. In my opinion, based on my experiences with these types of cosmic cycles occurring in one’s life, it’s not so much a case of “I would love to have a much softer tone. I would love to get along,” as much as it becomes a case of “I need these things in order to protect my own well-being.”

 

In other markets last week, crude oil declined to its lowest level since February 14. It is in the process of falling to both its 17-month and three-year cycle lows, which will probably be realized by September 2019 as Jupiter will form a waning square three times to Neptune. Jupiter and Neptune co-rule crude oil. Interestingly enough Jupiter will be in its ruling sign of Sagittarius, and Neptune in its ruling sign of Pisces for the next year, something we haven’t seen since 1852. Sagittarius and Pisces are the signs ruling crude oil. Thus, we anticipate a long-term cycle low will happen during this period, which will also be covered in next year’s Forecast Book.

 

For now, our attention is on November 16, when Venus and Mercury change directions, and November 30, when Venus will be in opposition to Uranus. Don’t expect markets to go sideways during these periods. Don’t expect people – especially heads of states or banks – to be calm either. However, your love life may be rather exciting, although not necessarily under control. It might be better in the long run if it was under control, but short-term that may not be as much fun. With Jupiter also moving into Sagittarius last week, and Mars entering Pisces this week, on November 15, being in control may be a foreign concept to many people. Everything seems to be exaggerated into mid-December. Boundaries may be an issue, so think twice before venturing over any red lines that others place on your path. For traders, carelessness may be costly, so be attentive and focused. Opportunities are there.

MMA Current Announcements

 

ANNOUNCEMENTS

 

NOTE 1: The monthly MMA and ICR Cycles Reports are both coming out this week!

 

THE MONTHLY MMA CYCLES REPORT contains our future outlook for U.S. stock indices (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, Treasuries, Euro Currency, Crude Oil and Soybeans, plus MMA’s original geocosmic critical reversal dates (CRDs) and Solar/Lunar reversal dates over the next several weeks for DJIA, Gold, and Silver. This May issue will also have an analysis of Live Cattle by Massimo Moras, MMTA graduate and analyst and an updated report on Cannabis stocks. This will be the last MMA Cycles Report issue that will offer Live Cattle and Cannabis analysis. They will, now switch to be regular features in the new ICR International Commodities Cycles Report, starting on July 2. That report will also include analysis on Corn, Wheat, Coffee, and Sugar markets as well as the XAU Gold and Silver Mining Index. The monthly MMA Japan Cycles report will also be released this week, covering the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen. If you are not a subscriber to the monthly MMA Cycles Reports and wish a copy of this month’s outlook for financial markets, consider taking out a subscription NOW. Please visit https://mmacycles.com > Services > Subscription Services for more information.

 

The Monthly MMTA International Cycles Report (ICR) will also be issued this week. This issue will include analysis on Coffee and Sugar, which will then be moved over to the new monthly ICR Commodities Report in the next issue. The monthly ICR report is probably the best kept secret for the timing and cyclical analysis of several international markets available today. It is an excellent report, written by several graduates and students of MMA’s classic market timing methodology, including Mark Shtayerman (San Diego), Izabella Suleymanova (San Diego), and Ulric Aspegren (Sweden). This issue of ICR contains an in-depth analysis of the XAU index (Gold and Silver Mining stocks), the U.S. Dollar (DXY), British Pound (GBP), Australian Dollar (AUD), the Australian stock index (ASX), the London FTSE stock index, the Russell 2000 U.S. stock index (RUT), Corn (C) and Wheat (W). And for now, it will also include Coffee and Sugar. Starting with the next issue, this will become the new ICR Financial Markets Report, less Corn, Wheat, and XAU, and will instead include the Chinese Shanghai Composite Stock Index and Hang Seng of Hong Kong Stock Index (see below). For more information, call us at 248-626-3034, or 1-800-662-3349. Or, please visit http:// mmacycles.com/ > Subscription Services.

 

NOTE 2: The New ICR Cycles’ Reports from MMA are Coming!!! Starting on July 2nd, we are going to expand our International Cycles Report (ICR) into two reports... ICR Financials and ICR Commodities. Each report will be covering 7 markets, and will cost, as follows (but there will be a special introductory offer – see below):

 

ICR Financials:

Cost: $325/ Year or $66/ 2 Months

Markets Covered: ASX (Australian Stock Index), RUT (Russell 2000), SSE (Chinese Shanghai Stock Composite), HSI (Hang Seng Index), AUD (Australian Dollar), DXY (US Dollar), and GBP (British Pound)

Release Date: Tuesday July 2, 2019

 

ICR Commodities:

Cost: $325/ Year or $66/ 2 Months

Markets Covered: LC (Live Cattle), MJ (Cannabis), XAU (Gold and Silver), KT (Coffee), KA (Sugar), C (Corn), and W (Wheat)

Release Date: Wednesday July 3, 2019

 

If you sign up for either ICR Report by June 30th, you will also receive – at no additional cost – the May issue of our current ICR Report, which contains our initial analysis of Coffee, Corn, Wheat, and Sugar. As a final BONUS, we will send you both the ICR Financials Report and the ICR Commodities Report in July so that you can see and experience both of our new reports. That’s TWO reports- at no additional cost- just for trying our new report. SAVE 20% NOW! If you wish to sign up for both the ICR Financials Report and ICR Commodities Report, we are offering a 20% off the yearly rate for both reports, valid until June 1. Instead of $650 for both reports, your cost will be $520- a savings of $130! Use code ICR at check out to receive the discount. For further information, visit https://mmacycles.com > Services > Subscription Services.

 

NOTE 3: MMA’S DAILY AND WEEKLY SUBSCRIPTION REPORTS ARE THE BEST WAY TO KEEP UP WITH RAPIDLY CHANGING MARKETS! If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you will be interested in MMA’s Weekly or Daily Market reports. The weekly reports give an in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro/Yen cash, Swiss Franc, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver, and Bitcoin. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as the Euro Currency, Japanese Yen, Bitcoin, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF’s). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders and shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the Daily report also includes the Weekly report. For further information, visit https://mmacycles.com > Services > Subscription Services.

 

For any questions, please contact us at customerservice@mmacycles.com or call (248) 626-3034, or (800) MMA-3349.

 

EVENTS

 

June 8-16, 2019: IT’S ON! June 8-16, 2019: “Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles,” with Raymond Merriman in Beijing, China. This special 2-weekend workshop will take place at the Beijing Broadcasting Tower Hotel, No.14 Jianguomenwai Da Jie, Chaoyang, 100022 Beijing, China. This will be two intensive weekend Market Trading workshops focusing on the identifying the primary cycle and its phases used in trading several financial markets, with the emphasis on the U.S. and Chinese Shanghai stock indices and Gold (other markets will be included as well). The course will then take participants through the steps of narrowing the time band down for trading cycle highs and lows by applying geocosmic and solar/lunar studies. Once in the time band for a reversal, students will then learn how to apply various chart patterns and technical studies to identify the setup for optimal risk/reward opportunities. The workshop will take place on the weekends of June 8-9 and June 15-16 in Beijing. During the week, participants will have the option of taking tours with other MMA students to exciting areas of China. The cost for this unique and valuable 2-weekend trading course is $4000 (discounts will be available to subscribers of MMA Reports). For further information, please contact MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com or call 1-248-626-3034 or 1-800-MMA-3349. Or, for a complete description of each course, go to:

 

https://mmacycles.com/index.php?route=blog/article&category_id=3&article_id=248 

 

https://mmacycles.com/index.php?route=product/product&path=64_72&product_id=184

 

https://mmacycles.com/index.php?route=product/product&path=64_72&product_id=286

 

 

Disclaimer and statement of purpose: The purpose of this column is not to forecast the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will often cite what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures may affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycles’ analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand the psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence potentially affect financial markets.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers of this column assume any responsibility whatsoever for anyone’s trading or investment decisions. Readers of this report should understand that commodity futures and options trading are considered high risk.