MMA Weekly Column for 2018-11-19 ©

Posted by in Raymond Merriman's Weekly Preview on November 17, 2018 . .

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REVIEW AND PREVIEW

 

The British Pound suffered its biggest one-day loss against the euro since October 2016 on Thursday, as a flurry of resignations rocked the government of U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May… Market focus is largely attuned to Brexit developments, amid heightened fears the country could soon crash out of the European Union without a divorce deal.  – Sam Meredith, “Euro Markets Lower as Sterling Stabilizes After Brexit Drama,” https://www.cnbc.com, November 16, 2018.

 

An oil market sell-off has shaved more than a fifth off the Brent crude benchmark and slashed the price of U.S. crude by 25 percent since early October. WTI logged its steepest one-day loss in more than three years on Tuesday. The contract fell 6.2 percent this week. -Reuters, “US Crude Posts 6th Straight Weekly Loss,” November 16, 2018.

 

Bitcoin tumbled below $6,000 for the first time since August and reached its lowest level in over a year, breaking the recent stretch of tranquility exhibited by the notoriously volatile digital alternative to cash.

The world’s largest cryptocurrency tumbled as much as 15 percent, with most of the initial loss coming within a half hour window. – Olga Kharif and Eddie Van Der Walt/Bloomberg, “Bitcoin Is Tanking Hard – and It Is Now the Lowest It’s Been in Over a Year,” time.com/money, November 14, 2018

 

So, what happened last week to cause crude oil, bitcoin, and the British Pound to fall so hard? Economists can point to an oversupply of crude oil as the cause of its decline. Political analysts can point to the painful divorce of the UK from the Euro Union (Brexit), leading to resignations and calls for U.K. Prime Minister Teresa May to step down as the catalyst for the steep selloff in the British Pound. No one quite knows why bitcoin dropped so hard last week. But then again, they really couldn’t explain why it rose so sharply in the first place a year ago. Something about a fork in Bitcoin cash that will cause a split, followed by the creation of new coins. In the meantime, the” split” colud make bitcoin itself less valuable.

 

And therein lies the key to our analysis: “less valuable.” What is “value” to a Financial Astrologer? What rules the concept of “what something is worth”? It is Venus. And that is exactly the culprit in the dramatic change in the “value of things” that has rocked financial markets in the last six weeks, like crude oil, equities, Silver, and currencies, even bitcoin.

 

Six weeks ago, in early October, U.S. stock indices were making all-time highs and many others were at multi-year highs. Crude oil was at its highest level in nearly 4 years. The Dollar/Yen was at its highest mark in nearly a year. U.S. Treasuries were at the lowest level (highest level in interest rates) in 8 years. Jamal Khashoggi, a noted journalist and critic of Saudi Arabia, was brutally murdered in the Saudi embassy in Turkey on October 2 and Brett Kavanaugh was confirmed by the Senate to the Supreme Court on October 6, following a bitter partisan battle that ripped the political divide in the U.S. population even further. All of these events and milestones happened October 2-9. All had one thing in common: Venus turned retrograde in Scorpio on October 5.

 

SHORT-TERM GEOCOSMICS

 

In Financial Astrology, we have a several rules. Some of them even work! Seriously, one of the principles of Financial Astrology is that any market that is trending over several months into a Mercury, Venus, or Mars retrograde date is a candidate to make a counter-trend move that will last until the time that planet turns direct. Venus is more reliable than Mars or Mercury in this regard.

 

On Friday, November 16, Venus completed its six-week retrograde period, which began October 5. This is something that happens about every 19 months. Venus rules values. It also rules love, but that is a topic for another day, especially since we are talking about Venus starting its retrograde motion in Scorpio this time around. We don’t want to talk about love with Venus in Scorpio, because that combination has a hard time telling the difference between love and lust. If I get started on that, I will lose my focus on the trend and counter-trend movements of the markets, and that’s the point of this column, usually.

 

Thus, we look back on the last six weeks, and it is clear to see that something changed. Investors were bullish on many markets around October 5. They then turned bearish on those markets into this week as Venus ended its retrograde motion. The idea is that investors will now change their sense of values again and markets will return to their trend that was in effect before the countertrend took effect. That is, equities will become desirable again, as will crude oil, and interest rates, which had been falling the last six weeks, will resume rising.

 

The only cosmic matter that might disturb this rule is Mercury, the trickster. Just as Venus ends its retrograde motion on November 16, with the promise of returning to happier equity days again shortly, Mercury the trickster will begin its 3-week retrograde drama that will last into December 6. Whereas the issue with Venus has to do with the change of value we place upon things (like assets, love, and lust), the issue with Mercury has to do with communications and the tendency to make decisions that are not well-thought out and later have to be changed. It’s all about changes. In this case, market values are apt to vacillate a great deal in the next few days, as in volatility and more large price swings in very short periods of time.

 

AND LONGER-TERM THOUGHTS

 

Every decision I make is a choice between a miracle or a grievance. – Deepak Chopra, Adam Plack, “The Soul of Healing Meditations,” 2001.

 

The U.S. government ran a $100 billion deficit last month, compared with a $63 billion budget gap in October 2017. Deficits are projected to rise in the coming years as entitlement spending grows and interest expenses on the debt rise. A strong economy typically leads to narrower deficits, as rising household income and corporate profits help boost tax collections, while spending on safety-net programs tends to decline. – Kate Davidson, “Deficit in October Reached $100 Billion,” Wall Street Journal, November 14, 2018.

 

 

So, how does this happen? How is it that the U.S.A. has a strong economy, the lowest unemployment in decades, and yet the Federal government spends so much more than it brings in? In the study of Financial Astrology, we have a simple explanation, or rather a simple correlation: Saturn conjunct Pluto in Capricorn, January 12, 2020.

 

Well, maybe it’s not quite that simple. You might say it’s a setup, a sequence of planetary signatures involving long-term planetary cycles. The huge spending spree can be foretold by the transit of Jupiter into Sagittarius, approaching a three-passage series of square aspects to Neptune in Pisces, January – September 2019. This is a classical bankruptcy aspect, a period of overspending and overreaching in which many entities – governments, corporations, institutions, and individuals – are tempted to spend more than they bring in (think Italy and think the USA). There is a lack of attention paid to the consequences of this behavior in the belief that enough money will be brought in to cover those added costs. Except, it doesn’t. The estimates are woefully wrong. Budget controls get busted, and overruns on the account get out of control.

 

At some point, the credit binge is forced to stop as debtors demand payment and put a halt to any further debt increase. That day of reckoning usually happens when a strong Saturn aspect follows. In this case, the demand for accountability and fiscal tightening is due in 2020-2021, when Saturn conjoins Pluto, followed by Jupiter conjoining Saturn, and finally Saturn making its waning square to Uranus. It’s not just the U.S.A. that is under this pressure, although it does impact its founding chart. It is the whole world, and especially entities that have natal planets in 22-27° of cardinal signs. In addition to the U.S.A. founding chart, this includes Donald Trump, the Federal Reserve Board, Fed Chair Jerome Powell, and the New York Stock Exchange.

 

Can this be avoided? Must entities with planets in these degrees experience bankruptcy? Of course, this can be avoided. With awareness and free will to make choices, anyone under any aspect can choose to make decisions that are responsible, take into account the consequences of those decisions, and remain within the themes of those planetary dynamics. The cosmos, and the study of it known as astrology, is not a choice-maker. It is a choice-revealer. Here is the situation approaching: what choices are you going to make that will minimize the danger and/or maximize the opportunity? It’s a choice that is likely to be made based upon one’s consciousness of these matters and their potential outcomes.

MMA Current Announcements

ANNOUNCEMENTS

NOTE 1: The monthly MMA Cycles report was issued last week, which included a Special Silver Report If you are a subscriber to this report and did not receive it, let us know at once. Also, a complimentary copy was sent to everyone who pre-ordered Forecast 2019. If you wish a copy of this Special Update on Silver, consider a trial subscription to the MMA Cycles Report, or ordering the Forecast 2019 Book while supplies last. Order must be placed by January 15 to receive this Special Silver Report. For further information, go to our website at https://mmacycles.com, or call us at 248-626-3034 or 800-MMA-3349, or email us at customerservice@mmacycles.com and get your copy of the Special Silver Report.

 

NOTE 2: February 9, 2019: MMA’S FORECAST 2019 LIVE WEBINAR, will take place on Saturday, February 9, 2019 at 11:00 AM (MST). This is 1:00 PM EST, 6:00 PM GMT. In the comfort of your own home or office, you can tune into Raymond Merriman’s annual worldwide webinar on Forecast 2019. This broadcast will address subjects from this year’s Forecast 2019 Book, with updates on financial markets since the book was written in November 2018. Outlooks for the U.S. stock market, Gold and Silver, crude oil, and currencies will be discussed. Cost is $45.00, and includes the slides of the presentation, plus a downloadable MP4 recording of the event. To reserve your spot in this live webinar broadcast, contact us directly at 1-248-626-3034, 800-MMA-3349, or email us at customerservice@mmacycles.com. You may register via our website at https://mmacycles.com > Products > Webinars. If unable to attend live, you can still sign up, as everyone will recieve the MP4 recording, following the live event.

 

NOTE 3: The monthly MMTA International Cycles Report (ICR) will be issued this week. This report is probably the best kept secret for the timing and cyclical analysis of several international markets available today. It is an excellent report, written by several graduates and students of MMA’s classic market timing methodology, including Mark Shtayerman (San Diego), Izabella Suleymanova (San Diego), Ulric Aspegren (Sweden), and Gianni Di Poce (USA). Each issue of ICR contains an in-depth analysis of the XAU index (Gold and Silver Mining stocks), the U.S. Dollar (DXY), British Pound (GBP), Australian Dollar (AUD), the Australian stock index (ASX), the London FTSE stock index, the Russell 2000 U.S. stock index (RUT), Corn (C) and Wheat (W). For more information, call us at 248-626-3034, or 1-800-662-3349. Or, please visit http:// mmacycles.com/ > Subscription Services.

 

NOTE 4: The Forecast 2019 Book is done and delivery has begun to all those who pre-ordered prior to December 7. The orders received after December 7 will be mailed out in late December. Please note: we have only ordered 20% additional copies. When those remaining 20% are sold out (10% have been ordered so far), they are gone. There will be no second printing. At that point, the only way to read Forecast 2019 will be through the eBook, which is available now to delivery to your inbox! ORDER NOW, if you have not done so already, and make sure you receive your copy of Forecast 2019 before they sell out. For more information on this annual best seller, go to https://mmacycles.com > Products> Forecast 2019. You may also email MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-248-626-3034, 1-800-662-3349.

 

MMA's annual Forecast Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is unique and one of the most affordable and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include: T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2019. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2019 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2019. This book has an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://mmacycles.com > Products> Forecast 2019.

 

This year’s printed version of Forecast 2019 will also available in four other languages, as follows:

 

Dutch: at www.markettiming.nl

German: at http://www.mma-europe.ch/

Japanese: at http://merriman.jp

Chinese: www.nodoor.com/

 

“2019 will be the 11th consecutive year I've ordered Ray's annual Forecast book.  I read it immediately upon arrival as well as consult the book several times throughout the year.  I consider it to be the most important planning tool for my personal trading/investing, not only for the coming year, but looking several years ahead as well.  For anyone serious about accurate market timing, Ray's Forecast book is a must read.” - Shane R., Alpine, UT (USA), Individual trader/investor - business owner, 20 years trading stocks & futures.

 

Thanks to MMA, I have closed 36 trades this year with a win rate of 86% (the remaining 14% were due errors on my part, as I have been actively trading less than a year). Ray’s predictive ability is remarkable. No one predicts more accurately. I highly recommend his daily newsletter which covers many markets. It appears expensive, but it’s a serious money-maker. My advice: get it now. Robert W, San Antonio, Texas, trades index funds, gold, silver, select stocks, less than a year. 

 

EVENTS

 

January 11-12, 2019: “Trends for 2019,” sponsored by Astrodata, Zurich, Switzerland. Friday night lecture: “Jupiter in Sagittarius, Neptune in Pisces: Is It a Bubble or a Crash?” For much of 2019, Jupiter will be in its ruling sign of Sagittarius, and Neptune will be in its ruling sign of Pisces. Each, by itself, would normally be positive from the economies and stock markets of the world. But in 2019, these two planets will be in a challenging square aspect to one another. What does this mean for the world economy in 2019?

 

Saturday workshop, Jan 12, in Zurich: “Forecasts for Financial Markets in 2019.” Based on the Forecast 2019 Book, Ray will present his outlook for the world geopolitical and financial landscape in 2019. He will discuss various cycles – both rhythmic and geocosmic – to support his outlook. In this workshop, he will also share his forecast for several financial markets, including Gold, the USA and German/Swiss stock markets, crude oil, and the Euro/U.S. Dollar. If you are an investor or trader, or just interested in the correlation between cycles in human activity and the cosmos, this is a workshop you will not want to miss!

 

January 19, 2019, Amsterdam, Netherlands, “Forecasts 2019 and Beyond: The Reversal of the Current Economic Cycle,” sponsored by Schogt Market Timing. This conference will take place at the Hotel Breukelen outside of Amsterdam, and feature Karen Hammaker-Zondag, Irma Schogt, and Raymond Merriman. For more information, please visit www.markettiming.nl or take the direct link https://goo.gl/VPxGSe for conference details.

 

February 9, 2019: MMA’S FORECAST 2019 LIVE WEBINAR, will take place on Saturday, February 9, 2019, 11:00 AM (MST). This is 1:00 PM EST, 6:00 PM GMT. In the comfort of your own home or office, you can tune into Raymond Merriman’s annual worldwide webinar on “Forecast 2019.” This broadcast will address subjects from this year’s Forecast 2019 Book, with updates on financial markets since the book was written in November 2018. Outlooks for the U.S. stock market, Gold and Silver, crude oil, and currencies will be discussed. Cost is $45.00, and includes the slides of the presentation, plus a downloadable MP4 recording of the event. To reserve your spot in this live webinar broadcast, contact us directly at 1-248-626-3034, 800-MMA-3349, or email us at customerservice@mmacycles.com. You may register via our website at https://mmacycles.com > Products > Webinars. If unable to attend live, you can still sign up, as everyone who orders the Webinar will recieve the MP4 recording, following the live event.

 

March 9, 2019: 10:30 AM – 4 PM. Nova Southwestern University, 3301 College Ave, Carl DeSantis Bldg, Ft. Lauderdale, FL. This a 3-4 hour workshop on “Forecast 2019,” by Raymond Merriman. Contact 954-296-1211. $50.

 

April 26, 2019: Boulder, Colorado. “Forecasts for Financial Markets and USA Economy and Political Situation.” Details and contact information to be announced shortly, sponsored by ROMA.

 

 

June 8-16, 2019: “Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles,” Beijing, China. A two-weekend intensive Market Trading workshop/retreat with Raymond Merriman. This 32-hour intensive workshop will focus on the primary cycle and its phases – the half-primary, major, and trading cycles - and how to determine when they are due. Then, we will identify geocosmic signatures – Levels 1, 2, and 3 – as the basis for calculating CRDs (Critical Reversal Dates), to narrow the time band down for an important cycle reversal. Within that time, we will identify and discuss specific technical and charting tools that will further enhance the timing of a major market reversal, and the price target range to look for. In this analysis, we will also explore the use of 60- 30-, and 5-minutes charts for even more accurate entry and exit points. With these tools, we will then construct a daily and/or weekly trading plan, as used in MMA Daily and Weekly Reports, using current market situations. Examples of several markets – including the USA and China stock markets, Gold, and crude oil will be used to illustrate these market timing techniques, with forecasts for the future. The workshop will take place on the weekends of June 8-9 and June 15-16 in Beijing. During the week, participants will have the option of taking tours with other MMA students to exciting areas of China. The cost for this unique and valuable trading retreat is $4000 (discounts will be available to subscribers of MMA Reports). For further information, please contact MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com or call 1-248-626-3034 or 1-800-MMA-3349.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose: The purpose of this column is not to forecast the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will often cite what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures may affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycles’ analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand the psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence potentially affect financial markets.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers of this column assume any responsibility whatsoever for anyone’s trading or investment decisions. Readers of this report should understand that commodity futures and options trading are considered high risk.