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REVIEW, PREVIEW, AND BOTH SHORT- AND LONGER-TERM THOUGHTS
Job growth slowed in November amid fears that economic growth is losing steam. Nonfarm payrolls increased by 155,000 for the month while the unemployment rate again held at 3.7 percent, its lowest since 1969, the Labor Department reported Friday. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting payroll growth of 198,000 and the jobless rate to hold steady. Average hourly earnings again rose at a 3.1 percent pace from a year ago. - -Jeff Cox, “November’s Jobs Report Falls short of Expectations,” https://www.cnbc.com, December 7, 2018.
U.S. stocks suffered steep declines after the arrest of a top Chinese tech executive fanned trade war worries and a swoon in oil prices worsened fears about the health of the global economy, “Volatility is back because investors have a lot of questions. Will the trade war escalate? Will the Fed hike rates too far? Will these factors tip the economy into a recession?” says Alan Skrainka, chief investment officer of Cornerstone Wealth Management. – Adam Shell, “Stocks are Plunging. Here’s What You Can Do,” USA Today, December 7, 2018.
President Donald Trump has been consulting with his advisors to see if his trade policies are responsible for the volatility that has hammered markets in recent weeks, according to The Wall Street Journal. Stocks took their latest downturn after the president declared himself "a Tariff Man" in a tweet Tuesday. The White House has been embroiled in a trade dispute with China, and Trump has pledged to take a hard line in negotiations. The Journal report and a number of tweets from the president suggest that he still blames the Federal Reserve's rate hikes for the market issues. However, stocks have continued to slide this week even amid expectations that the Fed may ease up on its rate-hiking cycle.
It was another hard week for world equities following the so-called positive meetings last weekend in Buenos Aires between President Donald Trump and Xi Jinping. But ultimately the script followed almost to perfection the storyline laid out by the cosmos as reported in this column last week, which stated, “The DJIA continued higher into the close of the week on hopes of a breakthrough this weekend in the trade dispute between China and the U.S.A., during the G-20 summit taking place in Buenos Aires. The only problem from the cosmic viewpoint is that these optimistic and hopeful themes of Jupiter and Sagittarius begin losing some of their luster now… so what was joyous and happy this past week may start out next week with a more somber assessment of what is real and possible... How will the markets respond? It depends on whether they believe the words and the show, or not. If they believe it, stock indices can soar next week, especially with the “irrational exuberance” of the Sun in Sagittarius square Mars and Neptune. Or, the opposite can happen if the investment community senses that this is not going to work, if it is all too abstract, lacking in details and specifics; in that case the negative side of these aspects manifests as lost trust leading to hysteria and panic.” The week started out great, with the DJIA up over 400 points on the opening. But by the end of the week, the DJIA had lost over 1700 points from Monday’s high. Worse yet, the mood of the investment community is now ensconced in the realization that this is rapidly becoming a bear market, with each rally lower than the last, and prices now on the verge of breaking to new yearly lows. That has already happened in many markets, and the DJIA is not far behind.
The bad news for equities was good news for Gold and Silver. Gold finally closed above $1250 for the first time since July 11, still supporting MMA’s special reports of last August that a long-term cycle low was due, and had probably occurred on August 16 at 1167. Silver also had a good week, closing up nearly 50 cents, but not yet to a new high for this primary cycle. We will issue a special longer-term analysis on Silver in this week’s MMA Cycles Report, coming out Monday night, as it is exhibiting some interesting market timing triggers that indicate something important may be starting within the next 4 months.
The good news for metals, however, did not translate into good news for bitcoin, which fell to another new yearly low around $3200 on Friday. However, this too is following the script outlined over the past several months in our MMA Weekly Bitcoin reports, as well as our webinars during the first half of 2018. This is a market to pay close attention to now, for I think an outstanding opportunity is readying.
SHORT-TERM GEOCOSMICS AND LONGER-TERM THOUGHTS
The cosmic emphasis upon Jupiter and Neptune last week was a preview of what to expect for most of 2019, when Jupiter will make its waning square to Neptune three times, starting in mid-January.
This is one of the classical bankruptcy signatures in Financial Astrology, a time when people, as well as counties and companies, are prone to become too careless with monies, spending far more than they can afford. It is a time of over-optimistic hopes and dreams, most of which are not realistic. It is a combination of comedy and tragedy, because on the one hand, Saturn and Pluto in Capricorn, with the eclipse coming up in Capricorn in early January, portends the resolution to be disciplined and careful in finances. But then, on the other hand, Jupiter square Neptune looks at that shiny new car, that sparkling new piece of jewelry, and suddenly out goes that promised practicality and commitment to build one’s bank account. Out the window it goes for the fulfillment of an urge for immediate gratification. And then the bill comes due and you ask: “What was I thinking?” That’s the problem. You weren’t thinking. You were wishing upon a star, convincing yourself that you deserved this. Instead, you deserved a credit downgrade. I speak as if it is personal, but this is not just an individual problem. It is a problem with many governments that we are likely to see explode next year with Jupiter square Neptune. And that’s just the setup for the Capricorn Stellium that follows in 2020. If Jupiter in Sagittarius was overconfident and positive in 2018-2019, then Jupiter, Saturn, and Pluto converging in Capricorn right afterwards can be downright worried and pessimistic, unless it has planned well for this period. After all, in recessions and downturns, great bargains are possible for those who have cash.
The major challenge for Financial Astrologers is to determine whether the 2019 Jupiter/Neptune waning square will be the start of a real financial panic, or if this downturn will suddenly reverse and witness a huge rally and a “bubble” in stock prices. With Jupiter and Neptune, it can either be “irrational exuberance,” to borrow a phrase from former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan, or hysteria and panic where people lose all sense of control and faith in their leaders. Right now, it looks more like the latter is happening. But I would not give up on Jupiter in Sagittarius just yet. After all, historically, it is one of the strongest planet-sign combinations correlating to strong rallies in global equities before it is over. Of course, you can have a steep selloff first, after which rallies can look very impressive. But generally speaking, the stock market makes longer-term cycle highs with Jupiter in Sagittarius (November 8, 2018-December 2, 2019), and then the air escapes out of the bubble as Jupiter advances into Capricorn-Aquarius (2020-2021). What went up must come down.
MMA Current Announcements
NOTE 1: February 9, 2019: MMA’S FORECAST 2019 LIVE WEBINAR, will take place on Saturday, February 9, 2019 at 11:00 AM (MST). This is 1:00 PM EST, 6:00 PM GMT. In the comfort of your own home or office, you can tune into Raymond Merriman’s annual worldwide webinar on Forecast 2019. This broadcast will address subjects from this year’s Forecast 2019 Book, with updates on financial markets since the book was written in November 2018. Outlooks for the U.S. stock market, Gold and Silver, crude oil, and currencies (including Bitcoin) will be discussed. Cost is $45.00, and includes the slides of the presentation, plus a downloadable MP4 recording of the event. To reserve your spot in this live webinar broadcast, contact us directly at 1-248-626-3034, 800-MMA-3349, or email us at firstname.lastname@example.org. You may register via our website at https://mmacycles.com > Products > Webinars. If unable to attend live, you can still sign up, as everyone will receive the MP4 recording, following the live event.
NOTE 2: Two weeks ago I gave a 3+ hour workshop on Forecast for 2019 to our Chinese students that went very well. The focus was on understanding the psychology of the Jupiter/Neptune square in 2019, Uranus in Taurus, and how they correspond to financial markets and global political conditions, leading into the “Capricorn Stellium” (the “Edge of the Cliff”) in 2020. These themes were also applied to the current economic conditions in China. Much attention was given to the cycles presently coming due in China’s stock market (the Shanghai Stock Composite Index), as well as an outlook for Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin. An MP4 recording of that webinar is now available for $127, and includes 100+ power point slides. The event is given in English, with Chinese translation, but easy to understand. For information on purchasing this MP4 recording, email us at email@example.com or call 1-248-626-3034.
NOTE 3: Last month I gave a 2-hour webinar class on Gold and Silver Long-Term Cycles, that went extremely well. If you are interested in this class, the cost is $95 for the MP4 recording, which is now available. Yes, it contains Chinese translation, but that won’t affect the understanding of the material, which comes with a 14-page workbook with illustrations (charts), tables, and slides of the presentation. It is well-worth the cost given where we are right now in the long-term cycles of each. For information, contact MMA at firstname.lastname@example.org, or call us at 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.
January 19, 2019, Amsterdam, Netherlands, “Forecasts 2019 and Beyond: The Reversal of the Current Economic Cycle,” sponsored by Schogt Market Timing. This conference will take place at the Hotel Breukelen outside of Amsterdam, and feature Karen Hammaker-Zondag, Irma Schogt, Ulric Aspegren, Antonia Langsdorf, and Raymond Merriman. For more information, please visit www.markettiming.nl or take the direct link https://goo.gl/VPxGSe for conference details. This is another event not to be missed if you are near Amsterdam at the time.
February 9, 2019: MMA’S FORECAST 2019 LIVE WEBINAR, will take place on Saturday, February 9, 2019, 11:00 AM (MST). This is 1:00 PM EST, 6:00 PM GMT. In the comfort of your own home or office, you can tune into Raymond Merriman’s annual worldwide webinar on “Forecast 2019.” This broadcast will address subjects from this year’s Forecast 2019 Book, with updates on financial markets since the book was written in November 2018. Outlooks for the U.S. stock market, Gold and Silver, crude oil, and currencies will be discussed. Cost is $45.00, and includes the slides of the presentation, plus a downloadable MP4 recording of the event. To reserve your spot in this live webinar broadcast, contact us directly at 1-248-626-3034, 800-MMA-3349, or email us at email@example.com. You may register via our website at https://mmacycles.com > Products > Webinars. If unable to attend live, you can still sign up, as everyone who orders the Webinar will receive the MP4 recording, following the live event.
March 9, 2019: 10:30 AM – 4 PM. Nova Southwestern University, 3301 College Ave, Carl DeSantis Bldg, Ft. Lauderdale, FL. This a 3-4 hour workshop on “Forecast 2019: An afternoon with Ray Merriman.” With Jupiter and Neptune in their ruling signs and square to one another, the principle of exaggeration in hopes and fears is present in all walks of life, including the economy, stock market and other financial markets, and politics. This combination only happens every 166-167 years, and this time is quite important because it is followed by the Capricorn Stellium in 2020. In this presentation, Ray will discuss the cosmic set up in 2019 and the "edge of the cliff" ahead in 2020, and what you can do to protect yourself and help others through what could be a turbulent period, but one with excellent investment possibilities as well. To sign up, contact 954-296-1211. $50.
April 26, 2019, 7 PM: “An overview of Financial Markets, the Economy and the Political Climate: Approaching the Edge of a Cosmic Cliff.” An evening with Ray Merriman. With Jupiter and Neptune in their ruling signs and square to one another, the principle of exaggeration in hopes and fears is present in all walks of life, including the economy, stock market and other financial markets, and politics. This combination only happens every 166-167 years, and this time is quite important because it is followed by the Capricorn Stellium in 2020. In this presentation, Ray will discuss the cosmic set up in 2019 and the "edge of the cliff" ahead in 2020, and what you can do to protect yourself and help others through what could be a turbulent period, but one with excellent investment possibilities as well. The location of this talk will be Room 9235 at the Naropa Nalanda Campus in Boulder, Colorado, 6287 Arapahoe Road, at the intersection of 63rd and Arapahoe. The cost is $45 if registered before April 1, and $55 afterwards. Sponsored by ROMA, the Rocky Mountain Astrological Association. For registration, contact Patti Simmers at 720-989-8822, or via email at firstname.lastname@example.org. Attendance will be limited to 80 persons. Sign up early.
June 8-16, 2019: “Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles,” Beijing, China. A two-weekend intensive Market Trading workshop/retreat with Raymond Merriman. This 32-hour intensive workshop will focus on the primary cycle and its phases – the half-primary, major, and trading cycles - and how to determine when they are due. Then, we will identify geocosmic signatures – Levels 1, 2, and 3 – as the basis for calculating CRDs (Critical Reversal Dates), to narrow the time band down for an important cycle reversal. Within that time, we will identify and discuss specific technical and charting tools that will further enhance the timing of a major market reversal, and the price target range to look for. In this analysis, we will also explore the use of 60- 30-, and 5-minutes charts for even more accurate entry and exit points. With these tools, we will then construct a daily and/or weekly trading plan, as used in MMA Daily and Weekly Reports, using current market situations. Examples of several markets – including the USA and China stock markets, Gold, and crude oil will be used to illustrate these market timing techniques, with forecasts for the future. The workshop will take place on the weekends of June 8-9 and June 15-16 in Beijing. During the week, participants will have the option of taking tours with other MMA students to exciting areas of China. The cost for this unique and valuable trading retreat is $4000 (discounts will be available to subscribers of MMA Reports). For further information, please contact MMA at email@example.com or call 1-248-626-3034 or 1-800-MMA-3349.
Disclaimer and statement of purpose: The purpose of this column is not to forecast the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will often cite what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures may affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycles’ analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand the psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence potentially affect financial markets.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers of this column assume any responsibility whatsoever for anyone’s trading or investment decisions. Readers of this report should understand that commodity futures and options trading are considered high risk.