MMA Weekly Column for 2019-01-14©

Posted by in Raymond Merriman's Weekly Preview on January 13, 2019 . .

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REVIEW AND PREVIEW

 

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is concerned about the ballooning amount of United States debt. "I'm very worried about it," Powell said at The Economic Club of Washington, D.C. The Fed chief's comments came as the annual U.S. deficit reaches new sustained highs above $1 trillion, a fact many economists worry could spell trouble for future generations. Annual deficits have topped $1 trillion before, but never during a time of sustained economic growth like now, raising concern about what would happen if a recession hits… Total U.S. debt is about $21.9 trillion. Fitch Ratings — one of the top credit rating agencies that analyzes companies and governments alike — said Wednesday that the ongoing government shutdown could soon start to impact its ability to pass a budget and could impact the government's triple-A sovereign score. – Thomas Frank, “Fed Chairman Powell “Very Worried” About Growing Amount of U.S. Debt,” https://www.cnbc.com, January 10, 2019.

 

British lawmakers are set to vote on Prime Minister Theresa May's much-maligned Brexit deal on Tuesday (January 15), with less than three months to go before the U.K. is set to leave the European Union. Remarkably, May's template to exit the bloc faces virtually certain defeat. That leaves the prospect of a complete collapse of government, a disorderly exit from the bloc or even the entire Brexit process being scrapped altogether over the coming weeks…. Westminster must now either accept the government's plans for a structured exit and relatively close economic ties with the EU or reject it and spawn massive uncertainty over the country's next steps. – Sam Meredith, “A Crunch Brexit Vote is Coming That Could Trigger Even More Political Chaos,  https://www.cnbc.com, January 11, 2019

 

All the wild swings experienced in December and early January seemed to pause as global stock markets rose steadily for most of last week. This may be related to the approaching first passage of Jupiter square Neptune this weekend, January 13. Unlike Uranus, which is wild and has been extremely strong through January 9, the influence of Neptune is more like floating on a raft on a sunny day in a calm lake with no wind and no worries. It’s passive, which to a trader, is akin to being complacent. And therein lies the danger as we head into more Uranus aspects, without the benefit of much Neptune, later this forthcoming week. If there is no real “bad” news or disturbing tweets suddenly launched, investors are apt to find reasons to invest, supporting gradually rising equity prices. Stock markets around the world, were generally higher last week, with some (like the DJIA) now up over 10% since their lows of December 26. In the 12 trading sessions following that low, the DJIA has been up 9 days. And one of the days it was down was Friday, January 11, when it fell only five points. During this same 12 days, the DJIA rose over 2300 points from low to high. It is this this type of market behavior that can lead to the complacency often associated with Neptune, which turns into vulnerability when disturbing news, a la Uranus, does hit the market. This is due again January 18-21, +/- three days.

 

Since one of the astrologer’s creeds is “As above, so below,” it is not hard to find a fundamental explanation for both the mild waters last week and the pleasant, dreamlike qualities of an expansive Jupiter/Neptune. The vote on the Brexit deal didn’t happen last week. It happens January 15, right in time for the next dose of Uranus. With Jupiter still very close to a square to Neptune, the investment world wonders if anyone really has a clue as to what the UK wants and what they are going to do. They might find out in the next week. Or, they might find out that they really don’t have a clue as to what they really want, and instead of the vote clarifying the issue, it just becomes more and more muddled, which is kind of like the normal state of mind when Jupiter squares Neptune. It’s a pleasant day on the raft in the lake when you have nothing to do, nothing taking place that can disturb you. But when you try to make something happen, it is more like falling off the raft and realizing you are now in quicksand. You are stuck and no one is helping. They are just watching and thinking: why did those people try to get off the boat there, in the mud, instead of steering to a safe shoreline for secure docking?

 

Of course, the same could be said about the recent attitude change taking place with the Federal Reserve Board too, as it decided it can now be “patient” with regard to any further rate hikes. And on that news, the U.S. Dollar fell, which gave support to currencies, crude oil, and precious metals. Crude oil rose to $53.31 on last week’s high, an appreciation of over 25% from its low of $42.36 on December 24. What a difference a couple of weeks makes. We might be saying that again in reverse in the next two weeks.

 

SHORT-TERM GEOCOSMICS AND LONGER-TERM THOUGHTS

 

There is another cosmic storm approaching on the horizon, literally and figuratively. On January 18, the Sun will square Uranus, followed by a lunar eclipse as the Sun enters Aquarius on January 20-21. Also, on January 21, Mars will square Saturn, which is anything but a pleasant day on a raft in a peaceful lake. It is more like an attack of mosquitos biting into your sunburnt skin. Yet, this is also in the midst of Venus forming a conjunction with Jupiter, which is very nice, but in square to Neptune, January 20-22. One group of signatures suggests another market dive. The other suggests a sudden recovery. This might imply that the USA government shutdown reaches a climax and resolution then (January 18-25). The impasse is frustrating and drives the market down, but the resolution is sudden and welcomed, and drives the market higher. But keep in mind that everything is short-term here.

 

We have to keep our eyes focused on Jupiter in Sagittarius for most of this year. Even though it squares Neptune, which has the potential for market hysteria and panic, the history of this Jupiter in Sagittarius is more bullish than bearish, so it can also correlate with a market bubble. My guess is that we are entering a period much like early 2008. The stock market made an all-time high in October 2007, the previous time that Jupiter was in Sagittarius. Equity prices then came down hard in late January, and the Fed was forced to create more liquidity. After bottoming in late January, the Fed’s serious monetary easing lifted the stock market back up into May 2008. Once again, the USA stock market topped out with a new all-time high in October 2018. It then had a serious fall into late December, almost three months long like October 2007-January 2008. Then, in the past few days, the Fed came in and started messaging monetary easing (or at least, it backed off from its somewhat aggressive rate-hiking direction), and the stock market started to recover nicely. Maybe December 26-27 was the 4-year cycle low, and this rally can continue for a few months while Jupiter is in Sagittarius, lulling everyone back into complacency believing the danger period has passed.

 

And then Wiley E Coyote comes to the “Edge of the Cliff” and has to decide whether to jump, or go back down and face the more important real wall (“Capricorn Stellium” of 2020) that is being built, which is a wall of debt.

MMA Current Announcements

ANNOUNCEMENTS

NOTE 1: MP4’s NOW AVAILABLE FROM MMA’S FORECAST 2019 WEBINAR. This was an exceptional 2-hour webinar, and the recording with slides came out very good. The event took place last Saturday, February 9, 2019 and addressed subjects from this year’s Forecast 2019 Book, with updates on financial markets since the book was written in November 2018. Outlooks for the U.S. stock market, Gold and Silver, crude oil currencies (including Bitcoin), Live Cattle, and Canopy, a Canadian cannabis stock offered on USA markets, were discussed. If you were unable to attend live, you can still receive the MP4 recording now! Cost is $45.00, and includes the slides of the presentation. You may register via our website at https://mmacycles.com > Products > Webinars. In fact, there is special in effect until this Monday where you can purchase the MP4 recording of the webinar, plus a 2-issue trial of the monthly MMA Cycles Report (which comes out this week), and includes the special Euro Currency report, for a total of $95.00

 

NOTE 2: THE MONTHLY MMA CYCLES REPORT will be issued this week (Monday night-Tuesday) to all subscribers of that report. This report contains our future outlook for U.S. stock indices (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, Treasuries, Euro Currency, Crude Oil and Soybeans, plus MMA’s original geocosmic critical reversal dates (CRDs) and Solar/Lunar reversal dates over the next several weeks for DJIA, Gold, and Silver. The monthly MMA Japan Cycles report will also out this week, covering the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen. If you are not a subscriber to the MMA Cycles Reports and wish a copy of this month’s outlook for financial markets, consider taking out a subscription NOW. If you take advantage of the special sale going on through Monday (see below), you will be sent last week’s Special Update Report on the Euro Currency’s long-term, intermediate-term, and primary cycles. For more information please visit http://mmacycles.com/ > Subscription Reports.

 

SPECIAL UPDATE REPORT ON THE EURO CURRENCY COMING OUT TUESDAY TO MMA CYCLES SUBSCRIBERS!! MMA Currency Analyst and MMTA (Merriman Market Timing Academy) graduate Ulric Aspegren has completed an intensive study on the long-term cycles of the Euro currency, via the MMA Market Timing methodology as taught in the MMTA program. In this report he has identified another long-term cycles’ breakdown that explains today’s current Euro Currency pattern, and what it projects for the future. Aspegren has been the ICR (International Cycles Report) analyst on the U.S. Dollar and British Pound since its inception five years ago. His work has been excellent, and he will now be covering the Euro currency analysis for the monthly MMA Cycles Report starting with the February 19 issue. If you are not a subscriber to the monthly MMA Cycles Report, and are interested in receiving this special Euro report that was issued last week on February 13, consider taking out a subscription, even a trial subscription. For more information, go to  https://mmacycles.com > Services > Subscription Services > MMA Monthly Cycles Report.

 

NOTE 3: SPECIAL ONE-WEEK OFFER FROM MMA ENDS THIS MONDAY! You can purchase a two-issue trial subscription to the monthly MMA Cycles Report and get the Special Euro Currency Report by Ulric Aspegren issued last week, and an MP4 recording of last Saturday’s Forecast 2019 webinar with the power point slides, all for $95.00. This offer is good for one week, through February 18, President’s Day, which is also when the next MMA Cycles Report will be released. To take advantage of this special offer, go to https://mmacycles.com > Products > Webinars.

 

NOTE 4: MMA’S daily subscription reports are hot! If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you will be interested in MMA’s Weekly or Daily Market reports. The weekly reports give an in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro/Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver, and Crude Oil, and Bitcoin. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as the Euro Currency, Japanese Yen, Bitcoin, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF’s). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders and shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For further information, visit https://mmacycles.com > Services > Subscription Services.

 

For any questions, please contact us at customerservice@mmacycles.com or call (248) 626-3034, or (800) MMA-3349.

 

EVENTS

 

March 9, 2019: 10:30 AM – 4 PM. Nova Southwestern University, 3301 College Ave, Carl DeSantis Bldg, Rm 1124 Knight Auditorium, Ft. Lauderdale, FL. This a 3-4 hour workshop on “Forecast 2019: An afternoon with Ray Merriman.” With Jupiter and Neptune in their ruling signs and square to one another, the principle of exaggeration in hopes and fears is present in all walks of life, including the economy, stock market and other financial markets, and politics. This combination only happens every 166-167 years, and this time is quite important because it is followed by the Capricorn Stellium in 2020. In this presentation, Ray will discuss the cosmic set up in 2019 and the "edge of the cliff" ahead in 2020, and what you can do to protect yourself and help others through what could be a turbulent period, but one with excellent investment possibilities as well. To sign up, contact 954-296-1211. $50.

 

April 26, 2019, 7 PM: “An overview of Financial Markets, the Economy and the Political Climate: Approaching the Edge of a Cosmic Cliff.” An evening with Ray Merriman. With Jupiter and Neptune in their ruling signs and square to one another, the principle of exaggeration in hopes and fears is present in all walks of life, including the economy, stock market and other financial markets, and politics. This combination only happens every 166-167 years, and this time is quite important because it is followed by the Capricorn Stellium in 2020. In this presentation, Ray will discuss the cosmic set up in 2019 and the "edge of the cliff" ahead in 2020, and what you can do to protect yourself and help others through what could be a turbulent period, but one with excellent investment possibilities as well. The location of this talk will be Room 9235 at the Naropa Nalanda Campus in Boulder, Colorado, 6287 Arapahoe Road, at the intersection of 63rd and Arapahoe. The cost is $45 if registered before April 1, and $55 afterwards. Sponsored by ROMA, the Rocky Mountain Astrological Association. For registration, contact Patti Simmers at 720-989-8822, or via email at patti.simmers@comcast.net. Attendance will be limited to 80 persons. Sign up early.

 

June 8-16, 2019: “Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles,” Beijing, China. A two-weekend intensive Market Trading workshop/retreat with Raymond Merriman. This 32-hour intensive workshop will focus on the primary cycle and its phases – the half-primary, major, and trading cycles - and how to determine when they are due. Then, we will identify geocosmic signatures – Levels 1, 2, and 3 – as the basis for calculating CRDs (Critical Reversal Dates), to narrow the time band down for an important cycle reversal. A complete detailed schedule of events and topics will be available after Chinese New Year’s. Stay tuned for the update.

 

Disclaimer and statement of purpose: The purpose of this column is not to forecast the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will often cite what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures may affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycles’ analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand the psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence potentially affect financial markets.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers of this column assume any responsibility whatsoever for anyone’s trading or investment decisions. Readers of this report should understand that commodity futures and options trading are considered high risk.