MMA Weekly Column for 2019-02-18©

Posted by in Raymond Merriman's Weekly Preview on February 16, 2019 . .

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NOTE: Markets will be closed Monday in the U.S. for President’s’ Day holiday. Enjoy the break  

 

REVIEW AND PREVIEW

 

"The world economy is slowing very rapidly and therefore monetary policy everywhere will be eased, so the outlook is a lot more inflationary, helping gold," said Alasdair Macleod, head of research at GoldMoney.com. “Gold Scales 2-Week Peak,” Reuters, February 15, 2019

 

Stocks continued their torrid rally last week to new highs for 2019 in U.S. indices. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, for instance, closed at 25,883, up 777 points for the week and 443 points on Friday alone, and this was in spite of President Trump’s “Mars/Uranus conjunction” surprise announcement that he will issue an executive order to “build the wall.” To a Mundane Astrologer, this was practically a given with Saturn in Capricorn (2018-2020), and both ruling “walls.” However, that was not the real reason equities rallied so strongly. It had more to do with the encouraging news on trade talks between the U.S. and China, which astrologically pertains to Jupiter in Sagittarius (both the planet and the sign rule world trade). They too will likely come to some sort of an agreement soon, although with Jupiter square Neptune, the “spin” on the agreement may be much greater than the reality of what it actually delivers or what can be enforced.

 

In Europe, the Netherlands AEX, Zurich SMI, and London FTSE indices all soared to new highs for 2019 last week, but the German DAX did not, for a potential case of intermarket bearish divergence in an MMA critical reversal zone.

 

In the Far East it was also a mixed bag. China’s Shanghai Composite, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng, and Tokyo’s Nikkei all rallied to new highs for 2019. Australia’s ASX just missed, whereas India’s Nifty Index was one of the few markets that plummeted last week.

 

In the Americas, the S&P, DJIA, and NASDAQ all made new highs for the year, while Argentina’s Merval Index exploded for a new all-time high. Brazil’s Bovespa was up, but not quite to a new all-time high.

 

In other markets, Gold, Silver, the Euro and the Yen all fell to a multi week low on February 14. Crude oil, like many stock indices, rallied to a new high for this year. Bitcoin started the week off quite strong, but then turned sideways again, hovering around 3550 by Friday’s close.

 

SHORT-TERM GEOCOSMICS AND LONGER-TERM THOUGHTS

 

The national debt surpasses $22 trillion for the first time on Tuesday, February 12, a milestone that experts warned is further proof the country is on an unsustainable path that could jeopardize the economic security of every American… The national debt has been rising at a faster rate following the passage of President Donald Trump’s $1.5 trillion tax-cut package a little more than a year ago… over time this can push up interest rates for consumers and businesses, nudging up rates for mortgages, corporate bonds and other types of consumer and business loans. – Michael Collins, “National Debt Tops $22 Trillion for Firth Time,” USA Today, February 14, 2019.

 

There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics. Attributed to Benjamin Disraeli by Mark Twain in "Chapters from My Autobiography," North American Review No. DCXVIII (July 5, 1907).

 

It is just the nature of Jupiter in Sagittarius square Neptune in Pisces. Everything has a nuance to it, and that nuance is usually dictated by the tendency to exaggerate, which falls under the domain of Jupiter and its ruling sign of Sagittarius. Add to this the tendency to give out incorrect facts, misleading information, and inaccurate narratives that have a hidden agenda of diverting attention away from what is really important, and you get an idea of the collective psychological climate we are in this year, In terms of market psychology, this is the juice that can lead to “irrational exuberance,” wishful thinking, and a proclivity towards thinking everything is wonderful, when really it is – at best – uncertain, unknown, and confusing, Markets may rally or fall in extremes with no rational basis behind it. We saw this in December when equity markets fell very hard, and we are probably seeing it now as equity markets rally for 8 consecutive weeks.

 

To a Financial Astrologer, it all fits into the storyline of Jupiter square Neptune with each planet in its ruling sign. At some point, reality will hit, such as the reality that the debt issue is not under control. That wakeup call is coming soon, probably in 2020, as the Jupiter/Neptune square gives way to the “Capricorn Stellium,” when Jupiter, Saturn, Pluto, and the Moon’s south node will travel through Capricorn and conjoin one another. If Sagittarius exaggerates, then Capricorn is much more critical and discerning, underestimating and preparing for the worst, instead of overestimating and assuming the best. This year, 2019, is the “setup” for what we will experience collectively in 2020-2021. It is a switch from seeing the glass half full to seeing it half empty – maybe almost empty.

 

We may get a glimpse of this future reality this week. Venus will conjoin both Saturn and Pluto, February 18-22 which is a preview of what we will see when Saturn and Pluto actually enter their conjunction on January 12, 2020. This week’s conjunction of Venus, Saturn, and Pluto follows the time last month when Venus was conjunct Jupiter and square Neptune, January 20-22. These translations of Venus over first the Jupiter/Neptune square, and then the Saturn/Pluto conjunction, are a symbolic preview of the greater picture of Jupiter square Neptune, January-September 2019, followed by the Saturn/Pluto conjunction in January 2020, with an effect lasting through much of 2020. As you can see, first the market was up, and now let’s see if we get a pull back from the Venus-Saturn-Pluto conjunction this coming week.

 

An even more important “translation” to the same set of aspects will follow with the Sun in March and April. That is, the Sun will conjoin Neptune and square Jupiter, March 6-13, and then head for a square to both Saturn and Pluto, April 10-13. Thus, this period offers another preview of what is to come, if not specifically in terms of market behavior, then in terms of political and economic scenarios. That is, first hopes and wishes, perhaps tinged with delusionary visions of “what could be,” followed by a smack in the face with cold reality, probably related to debt issues. It is very interesting to see the increasing attention being created for many socialistic policies, like free college education, guaranteed minimum annual payments by the government to everyone, even if you don’t work, to Medicare for all, at the same time the national debt is reported to exceed $22 trillion. These “parallel realities” are taking place as we leave the first Venus translation of Jupiter and Neptune (wishes, hopes, delusionary visions) and approach the Venus conjunction to Saturn and Pluto (hard, cold, reality involving debt) this week. The tax cut (Pluto) did not create the increase in revenues for the U.S. treasury that was expected. But I suspect all that will be forgotten soon as we approach the Sun’s translation to Jupiter/Neptune square in March – until we get to April, when the debt level again reaches a point of greater concern and makes headlines.

 

Each translation of Jupiter/Neptune by a faster moving planet, followed by that same planet’s translation of Saturn and Pluto soon afterwards, is likely to exhibit this pattern: first optimism based on hopes and wishes, then worry based on “How can we afford this with such debt?” This back and forth pattern progresses to less and less optimism and more and more concern the closer we get to 2020. The danger for traders and investors is that they become complacent, because every downturn in the market is still followed by healthy rallies, until Jupiter and Neptune finally separate after September. The danger for governments, institutions, companies and individuals is that if not careful, they may be headed for a credit crisis, such as bankruptcy (classical Jupiter/Neptune occurrences), where they spend far beyond what they can afford, falsely believing that everything is OK and will work out.

 

It is important to understand this dynamic. It may be hard to identify the exact turns in financial markets these days, especially if you don’t use geocosmic indicators. However, if you understand the collective psychology that is taking place, you can see why this type of pattern, and this probability of increasing investor complacency, can be a “setup” to a rather dangerous market climate that could very well be approaching. It is a reason why investors are advised to start thinking about how they can move from “market risk” to “cash” or certain commodities (if not done already), for when the psychological bubble of complacency breaks, cash will be king. That’s usually the way things go when Saturn enters hard aspect to Pluto and Uranus within a year of one another, which will take place in 2020-2021, for the first time since 2008-2010, and 2000-2002 before that.

 

For more insight on these matters, consider getting a copy of last week’s Forecast 2019 Webinar. It went very well, and so did the recording. With the power point slides that go along with this recording, these points are illustrated clearly - much more clearly than one might expect in these times with Jupiter square Neptune.

MMA Current Announcements

 

ANNOUNCEMENTS

 

NOTE 1: The monthly MMA and ICR Cycles Reports are both coming out this week!

 

THE MONTHLY MMA CYCLES REPORT contains our future outlook for U.S. stock indices (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, Treasuries, Euro Currency, Crude Oil and Soybeans, plus MMA’s original geocosmic critical reversal dates (CRDs) and Solar/Lunar reversal dates over the next several weeks for DJIA, Gold, and Silver. This May issue will also have an analysis of Live Cattle by Massimo Moras, MMTA graduate and analyst and an updated report on Cannabis stocks. This will be the last MMA Cycles Report issue that will offer Live Cattle and Cannabis analysis. They will, now switch to be regular features in the new ICR International Commodities Cycles Report, starting on July 2. That report will also include analysis on Corn, Wheat, Coffee, and Sugar markets as well as the XAU Gold and Silver Mining Index. The monthly MMA Japan Cycles report will also be released this week, covering the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen. If you are not a subscriber to the monthly MMA Cycles Reports and wish a copy of this month’s outlook for financial markets, consider taking out a subscription NOW. Please visit https://mmacycles.com > Services > Subscription Services for more information.

 

The Monthly MMTA International Cycles Report (ICR) will also be issued this week. This issue will include analysis on Coffee and Sugar, which will then be moved over to the new monthly ICR Commodities Report in the next issue. The monthly ICR report is probably the best kept secret for the timing and cyclical analysis of several international markets available today. It is an excellent report, written by several graduates and students of MMA’s classic market timing methodology, including Mark Shtayerman (San Diego), Izabella Suleymanova (San Diego), and Ulric Aspegren (Sweden). This issue of ICR contains an in-depth analysis of the XAU index (Gold and Silver Mining stocks), the U.S. Dollar (DXY), British Pound (GBP), Australian Dollar (AUD), the Australian stock index (ASX), the London FTSE stock index, the Russell 2000 U.S. stock index (RUT), Corn (C) and Wheat (W). And for now, it will also include Coffee and Sugar. Starting with the next issue, this will become the new ICR Financial Markets Report, less Corn, Wheat, and XAU, and will instead include the Chinese Shanghai Composite Stock Index and Hang Seng of Hong Kong Stock Index (see below). For more information, call us at 248-626-3034, or 1-800-662-3349. Or, please visit http:// mmacycles.com/ > Subscription Services.

 

NOTE 2: The New ICR Cycles’ Reports from MMA are Coming!!! Starting on July 2nd, we are going to expand our International Cycles Report (ICR) into two reports... ICR Financials and ICR Commodities. Each report will be covering 7 markets, and will cost, as follows (but there will be a special introductory offer – see below):

 

ICR Financials:

Cost: $325/ Year or $66/ 2 Months

Markets Covered: ASX (Australian Stock Index), RUT (Russell 2000), SSE (Chinese Shanghai Stock Composite), HSI (Hang Seng Index), AUD (Australian Dollar), DXY (US Dollar), and GBP (British Pound)

Release Date: Tuesday July 2, 2019

 

ICR Commodities:

Cost: $325/ Year or $66/ 2 Months

Markets Covered: LC (Live Cattle), MJ (Cannabis), XAU (Gold and Silver), KT (Coffee), KA (Sugar), C (Corn), and W (Wheat)

Release Date: Wednesday July 3, 2019

 

If you sign up for either ICR Report by June 30th, you will also receive – at no additional cost – the May issue of our current ICR Report, which contains our initial analysis of Coffee, Corn, Wheat, and Sugar. As a final BONUS, we will send you both the ICR Financials Report and the ICR Commodities Report in July so that you can see and experience both of our new reports. That’s TWO reports- at no additional cost- just for trying our new report. SAVE 20% NOW! If you wish to sign up for both the ICR Financials Report and ICR Commodities Report, we are offering a 20% off the yearly rate for both reports, valid until June 1. Instead of $650 for both reports, your cost will be $520- a savings of $130! Use code ICR at check out to receive the discount. For further information, visit https://mmacycles.com > Services > Subscription Services.

 

NOTE 3: MMA’S DAILY AND WEEKLY SUBSCRIPTION REPORTS ARE THE BEST WAY TO KEEP UP WITH RAPIDLY CHANGING MARKETS! If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you will be interested in MMA’s Weekly or Daily Market reports. The weekly reports give an in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro/Yen cash, Swiss Franc, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver, and Bitcoin. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as the Euro Currency, Japanese Yen, Bitcoin, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF’s). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders and shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the Daily report also includes the Weekly report. For further information, visit https://mmacycles.com > Services > Subscription Services.

 

For any questions, please contact us at customerservice@mmacycles.com or call (248) 626-3034, or (800) MMA-3349.

 

EVENTS

 

June 8-16, 2019: IT’S ON! June 8-16, 2019: “Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles,” with Raymond Merriman in Beijing, China. This special 2-weekend workshop will take place at the Beijing Broadcasting Tower Hotel, No.14 Jianguomenwai Da Jie, Chaoyang, 100022 Beijing, China. This will be two intensive weekend Market Trading workshops focusing on the identifying the primary cycle and its phases used in trading several financial markets, with the emphasis on the U.S. and Chinese Shanghai stock indices and Gold (other markets will be included as well). The course will then take participants through the steps of narrowing the time band down for trading cycle highs and lows by applying geocosmic and solar/lunar studies. Once in the time band for a reversal, students will then learn how to apply various chart patterns and technical studies to identify the setup for optimal risk/reward opportunities. The workshop will take place on the weekends of June 8-9 and June 15-16 in Beijing. During the week, participants will have the option of taking tours with other MMA students to exciting areas of China. The cost for this unique and valuable 2-weekend trading course is $4000 (discounts will be available to subscribers of MMA Reports). For further information, please contact MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com or call 1-248-626-3034 or 1-800-MMA-3349. Or, for a complete description of each course, go to:

 

https://mmacycles.com/index.php?route=blog/article&category_id=3&article_id=248 

 

https://mmacycles.com/index.php?route=product/product&path=64_72&product_id=184

 

https://mmacycles.com/index.php?route=product/product&path=64_72&product_id=286

 

 

Disclaimer and statement of purpose: The purpose of this column is not to forecast the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will often cite what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures may affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycles’ analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand the psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence potentially affect financial markets.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers of this column assume any responsibility whatsoever for anyone’s trading or investment decisions. Readers of this report should understand that commodity futures and options trading are considered high risk.